Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Platinum vs Black Rhinos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Platinum
Platinum
FT
1 – 0
Black Rhinos
Black Rhinos
12/11/2019Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 33Mandava Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Platinum48%
×Draw32%
Black Rhinos20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Platinum
1.13
Black Rhinos
0.62

Platinum creates 82% more chances

Season form · 95 home / 51 away

creates per match

Platinum
1.24
Black Rhinos
0.67

allows per match

Platinum
0.57
Black Rhinos
1.02

finishing

Platinum+0.00on par
Black Rhinos+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Under
  • Under74
  • Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platinum ↓

Black Rhinos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–111%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
52%48%2.5
26%74%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Platinum or draw
80%
Platinum or Black Rhinos
68%
Draw or Black Rhinos
52%

Winning margin

Platinum wins by 2+
21%
Black Rhinos wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Platinum 1+ goals
68%
Platinum 2+ goals
31%
Platinum 3+ goals
11%
Black Rhinos 1+ goals
46%
Black Rhinos 2+ goals
13%
Black Rhinos 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Platinum (draw refunded)
70%
Black Rhinos (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platinum at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.57 · 95 matches

Black Rhinos away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.02 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platinum attack 1.24 + Black Rhinos defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.13

Black Rhinos attack 0.67 + Platinum defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.62

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Platinum scores more
48%
level
32%
Black Rhinos scores more
20%

Platinum at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Platinum 1–0 Black Rhinos

Platinum beat Black Rhinos 1-0 in Premier Soccer League on December 11, 2019.

The match was played at Mandava Stadium in Zvishavane.