PKKU W 0–4 PK-35 Vantaa W: Result & Stats

PKKU W

FT

0 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

PK-35 Vantaa W

E. Mankki 77'

E. Peltokangas 50', 26'

N. Koso 15' (pen)

6/29/2024

Kansallinen Liiga · Round 10Tuusulan Urheilukeskus Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

PKKU W24%

×Draw19%

PK-35 Vantaa W58%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PKKU WExpected goals in this matchPK-35 Vantaa W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

2.58

PKKU W

1.63

PK-35 Vantaa W

2.58

PK-35 Vantaa W creates 58% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 73 away

1.00

creates per match

1.52

3.63

allows per match

2.25

creates per match

PKKU W

1.00

PK-35 Vantaa W

1.52

allows per match

PKKU W

3.63

PK-35 Vantaa W

2.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

PKKU W+0.00on par

PK-35 Vantaa W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over79
Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes74
No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

PKKU W ↓

PK-35 Vantaa W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–25%

0–34%

0–43%

1

1–02%

1–16%

1–28%

1–37%

1–45%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–27%

2–36%

2–44%

3

3–01%

3–13%

3–24%

3–33%

3–42%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

92%8%2.5

79%21%3.5

60%40%4.5

40%60%

Double chance

PKKU W or draw

42%

PKKU W or PK-35 Vantaa W

81%

Draw or PK-35 Vantaa W

76%

Winning margin

PKKU W wins by 2+

11%

PK-35 Vantaa W wins by 2+

37%

Team goals

PKKU W 1+ goals

80%

PKKU W 2+ goals

48%

PKKU W 3+ goals

22%

PK-35 Vantaa W 1+ goals

92%

PK-35 Vantaa W 2+ goals

72%

PK-35 Vantaa W 3+ goals

47%

Draw no bet

PKKU W (draw refunded)

29%

PK-35 Vantaa W (draw refunded)

71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

68%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

PKKU W at home — creates 1.00, concedes 3.63 · 16 matches

PK-35 Vantaa W away — creates 1.52, concedes 2.25 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

PKKU W attack 1.00 + PK-35 Vantaa W defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.63

PK-35 Vantaa W attack 1.52 + PKKU W defence 3.63 → ÷2 → 2.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

PKKU W scores more

24%

level

19%

PK-35 Vantaa W scores more

58%

PK-35 Vantaa W at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "PK-35 Vantaa W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'

N. KosoPenalty

26'

E. Peltokangas

35'

J. Liukkonen← A. Karvonen

46'

S. Vallinaho← E. Grahn

46'

J. Jokelainen← M. Sjöman

50'

61'

61'

65'

72'

72'

75'

I. Valovirta← S. Latvalahti

77'

E. Mankki

78'

P. Eklund← J. Huttunen

PKKU

PK-35

12

Suni

26

Toivanen

19

⚽2

Peltokang

14

Arifi

2

McNally

18

▼

Huttunen

8

Romppanen

9

⚽

▼

Koso

15

▼

Autio

29

▼

Koivu

16

▼

Tervo

1

Tammi

72

Saarenpää

25

▼

22

3

18

20

35

▼

Lampinen

4

▼

Grahn

27

▼

Sjöman

16

▼

Karvonen

Manager: T. Lehtihalmes

35'▲J. Liukkonen←▼A. Karvonen

46'▲S. Vallinaho←▼E. Grahn

46'▲J. Jokelainen←▼M. Sjöman

65'▲N. Niva←▼A. Lampinen

75'▲I. Valovirta←▼S. Latvalahti

PKKU W substitutes

80Liukkonen23Vallinaho11Jokelainen7Niva8Valovirta21Lampinen83Vesanto

Manager: J. Väisänen

61'▲E. Mankki←▼K. Autio

61'▲S. Velez←▼L. Tervo

72'▲A. Lesch←▼E. Koivu

72'▲V. Moilanen←▼N. Koso

78'▲P. Eklund←▼J. Huttunen

PK-35 Vantaa W substitutes

11Mankki20Velez5Lesch22Moilanen3Eklund1Espejo7Martikainen

Kansallinen Liiga: PKKU W 0–4 PK-35 Vantaa W

PK-35 Vantaa W beat PKKU W 4-0 in Kansallinen Liiga on June 29, 2024.

Goals: N. Koso (15' pen), E. Peltokangas (26', 50'), E. Mankki (77').

The match was played at Tuusulan Urheilukeskus Stadion in Tuusula.

PKKU W vs PK-35 Vantaa W — Kansallinen Liiga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Kansallinen Liiga: PKKU W 0–4 PK-35 Vantaa W