Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Piteå W vs Linköping W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Piteå W
Piteå W
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Linköping W
Linköping W
C. Tandberg 71'
M. De Jongh 54'
7/5/2024DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 15LF Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Piteå W39%
×Draw25%
Linköping W36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Piteå W
1.46
Linköping W
1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 80 home / 74 away

creates per match

Piteå W
1.32
Linköping W
1.51

allows per match

Piteå W
1.25
Linköping W
1.59

finishing

Piteå W+0.00on par
Linköping W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Piteå W ↓

Linköping W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Piteå W or draw
64%
Piteå W or Linköping W
75%
Draw or Linköping W
61%

Winning margin

Piteå W wins by 2+
19%
Linköping W wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Piteå W 1+ goals
77%
Piteå W 2+ goals
43%
Piteå W 3+ goals
18%
Linköping W 1+ goals
75%
Linköping W 2+ goals
40%
Linköping W 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Piteå W (draw refunded)
52%
Linköping W (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Piteå W at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.25 · 80 matches

Linköping W away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.59 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Piteå W attack 1.32 + Linköping W defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.46

Linköping W attack 1.51 + Piteå W defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Piteå W scores more
39%
level
25%
Linköping W scores more
36%

Piteå W at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Piteå W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9
C. TandbergLinköping WLinköping W · F
7.7

Match Events

14'
Faith Ikidi
15'
Noor Eckhoff
54'
M. De Jongh
58'
W. Carlsson← E. Löfqvist
60'
M. Green← S. Henriksson
63'
N. Karlsson← E. Östlund
68'
E. Åström← S. Swedman
68'
A. Imo← C. Edlund
71'
C. Tandberg
74'
E. Viklund← Á. Johannesen
76'
D. Pridham← I. Dirdal
86'
A. Rantanen← C. Tandberg
88'
Delaney Pridham

Possession

44%Piteå

Shots

11Piteå

Pass accuracy

47%Piteå

Statistics

PiteåLinköping
Overview
44%Possession56%
11Total Shots4
0.79Expected Goals (xG)1.42
9Corners1
13Fouls10
Shots
11Total Shots4
2On Target2
2Off Target1
7Blocked0
7Inside Box3
4Outside Box1
Passing
44%Possession56%
330Total Passes482
233Accurate Passes389
71%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
Discipline
13Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Offsides5

Damallsvenskan: Piteå W 0–2 Linköping W

Linköping W beat Piteå W 2-0 in Damallsvenskan on July 5, 2024.

Goals: M. De Jongh (54'), C. Tandberg (71').

Linköping W controlled possession (56%) and registered 4 shots to 11.

The match was played at LF Arena in Piteå.