Pho Hien 0–0 Bình Phước: Result & Stats

Pho Hien

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bình Phước

5/17/2025

V.League 2 · Round 19SVĐ Trung tâm đào tạo trẻ PVF

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 50+ matches

Pho Hien48%

×Draw26%

Bình Phước25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Pho HienExpected goals in this matchBình Phước

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

0.97

Pho Hien

1.46

Bình Phước

0.97

Pho Hien creates 51% more chances

Season form · 50 home / 62 away

1.72

creates per match

1.11

0.82

allows per match

1.19

creates per match

Pho Hien

1.72

Bình Phước

1.11

allows per match

Pho Hien

0.82

Bình Phước

1.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pho Hien+0.00on par

Bình Phước+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pho Hien ↓

Bình Phước →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Pho Hien or draw

75%

Pho Hien or Bình Phước

74%

Draw or Bình Phước

52%

Winning margin

Pho Hien wins by 2+

24%

Bình Phước wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Pho Hien 1+ goals

77%

Pho Hien 2+ goals

43%

Pho Hien 3+ goals

18%

Bình Phước 1+ goals

62%

Bình Phước 2+ goals

25%

Bình Phước 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Pho Hien (draw refunded)

66%

Bình Phước (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pho Hien at home — creates 1.72, concedes 0.82 · 50 matches

Bình Phước away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.19 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pho Hien attack 1.72 + Bình Phước defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.46

Bình Phước attack 1.11 + Pho Hien defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Pho Hien scores more

48%

level

26%

Bình Phước scores more

25%

Pho Hien at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Pho Hien will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff