Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Petržalka vs Zbrojovka Brno — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Petržalka
Petržalka
CANC
14:00
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
2/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Národné tréningové centrum SFZ

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Petržalka27%
×Draw23%
Zbrojovka Brno50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Petržalka
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.82

Zbrojovka Brno creates 43% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 14 away

creates per match

Petržalka
1.25
Zbrojovka Brno
1.64

allows per match

Petržalka
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.29

finishing

Petržalka+0.00on par
Zbrojovka Brno+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petržalka ↓

Zbrojovka Brno →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–28%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Petržalka or draw
50%
Petržalka or Zbrojovka Brno
77%
Draw or Zbrojovka Brno
73%

Winning margin

Petržalka wins by 2+
11%
Zbrojovka Brno wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Petržalka 1+ goals
72%
Petržalka 2+ goals
36%
Petržalka 3+ goals
14%
Zbrojovka Brno 1+ goals
84%
Zbrojovka Brno 2+ goals
54%
Zbrojovka Brno 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Petržalka (draw refunded)
35%
Zbrojovka Brno (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petržalka at home — creates 1.25, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

Zbrojovka Brno away — creates 1.64, concedes 1.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petržalka attack 1.25 + Zbrojovka Brno defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.27

Zbrojovka Brno attack 1.64 + Petržalka defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Petržalka scores more
27%
level
23%
Zbrojovka Brno scores more
50%

Zbrojovka Brno at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Zbrojovka Brno will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Petržalka host Zbrojovka Brno

February 13, 2024: Petržalka take on Zbrojovka Brno in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Petržalka host Zbrojovka Brno at Národné tréningové centrum SFZ.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.