Petrojet 1–1 Enppi: Result & Stats | Premier League

Petrojet

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Enppi

B. Moussa 45'

A. Kalosha 57'

2/6/2026

Premier League · Round 17Petrosport Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Petrojet38%

×Draw29%

Enppi33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PetrojetExpected goals in this matchEnppi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

1.04

Petrojet

1.14

Enppi

1.04

Petrojet creates 10% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

1.15

creates per match

0.66

1.42

allows per match

1.13

creates per match

Petrojet

1.15

Enppi

0.66

allows per match

Petrojet

1.42

Enppi

1.13

-0.15scores less than expected

finishing

+0.48scores more than expected

finishing

Petrojet-0.15scores less

Enppi+0.48scores more

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrojet ↓

Enppi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Petrojet or draw

67%

Petrojet or Enppi

71%

Draw or Enppi

62%

Winning margin

Petrojet wins by 2+

16%

Enppi wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Petrojet 1+ goals

68%

Petrojet 2+ goals

32%

Petrojet 3+ goals

11%

Enppi 1+ goals

65%

Enppi 2+ goals

28%

Enppi 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Petrojet (draw refunded)

54%

Enppi (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrojet at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.42 · 6 matches

Enppi away — creates 0.66, concedes 1.13 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrojet attack 1.15 + Enppi defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.14

Enppi attack 0.66 + Petrojet defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Petrojet scores more

38%

level

29%

Enppi scores more

33%

Petrojet at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Petrojet will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

A. Kalosha

Enppi · D

8.2

Match Events

33'

Mohamed Okasha

45'

B. Moussa↳ M. Ibrahim

46'

H. Abdallah← O. Bodian

46'

S. Said← H. Ibrahim

56'

Adham Hamed

57'

A. Kalosha↳ S. Said

68'

A. Abdallah← Y. Oubaba

77'

Qobolwakhe Sibande

81'

S. Sonko← G. Chukwudi

81'

A. Ehab← Z. Kamal

84'

A. Hamdy← Q. Sibande

84'

A. Yassin← M. Ibrahim

90+2'

M. El Gamal← B. Moussa

90+2'

S. Mohamed← A. Hamed

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PetrojetEnppi

Overview

34%Possession66%

13Total Shots12

4Corners2

11Fouls13

Shots

13Total Shots12

3On Target1

4Off Target9

6Blocked2

6Inside Box7

7Outside Box5

Passing

34%Possession66%

224Total Passes436

133Accurate Passes355

59%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

0Saves2

Discipline

11Fouls13

2Yellow Cards0

1Red Cards0

3Offsides2