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Peamount United W vs Wexford Youths W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Peamount United W
Peamount United W
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Wexford Youths W
Wexford Youths W
B. Watkins 39'
R. Jarrett 82'
A. Clancy 75'
7/1/2023All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3PRL Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Peamount United W32%
×Draw21%
Wexford Youths W47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Peamount United W
1.65
Wexford Youths W
2.04

Wexford Youths W creates 24% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Peamount United W
2.29
Wexford Youths W
2.50

allows per match

Peamount United W
1.57
Wexford Youths W
1.00

finishing

Peamount United W+0.00on par
Wexford Youths W+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peamount United W ↓

Wexford Youths W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Peamount United W or draw
53%
Peamount United W or Wexford Youths W
79%
Draw or Wexford Youths W
68%

Winning margin

Peamount United W wins by 2+
15%
Wexford Youths W wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Peamount United W 1+ goals
81%
Peamount United W 2+ goals
49%
Peamount United W 3+ goals
23%
Wexford Youths W 1+ goals
87%
Wexford Youths W 2+ goals
60%
Wexford Youths W 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Peamount United W (draw refunded)
40%
Wexford Youths W (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peamount United W at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

Wexford Youths W away — creates 2.50, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peamount United W attack 2.29 + Wexford Youths W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.65

Wexford Youths W attack 2.50 + Peamount United W defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Peamount United W scores more
32%
level
21%
Wexford Youths W scores more
47%

Wexford Youths W at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Wexford Youths W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'
B. Watkins
75'
A. Clancy
82'
R. Jarrett

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Peamount United W 1–2 Wexford Youths W

Wexford Youths W beat Peamount United W 2-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on July 1, 2023.

Goals: B. Watkins (39'), A. Clancy (75'), R. Jarrett (82').

The match was played at PRL Park in Greenogue.