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Peamount United W vs Glentoran BU W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Peamount United W
Peamount United W
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 1
Glentoran BU W
Glentoran BU W
E. Wilson 90+4'
C. Hamilton 86', 74', 71'
J. Andrews 34'
6/24/2023All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2PRL Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Peamount United W32%
×Draw20%
Glentoran BU W49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Peamount United W
1.90
Glentoran BU W
2.37

Glentoran BU W creates 25% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 6 away

creates per match

Peamount United W
2.29
Glentoran BU W
3.17

allows per match

Peamount United W
1.57
Glentoran BU W
1.50

finishing

Peamount United W+0.00on par
Glentoran BU W+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peamount United W ↓

Glentoran BU W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–28%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Peamount United W or draw
51%
Peamount United W or Glentoran BU W
80%
Draw or Glentoran BU W
68%

Winning margin

Peamount United W wins by 2+
16%
Glentoran BU W wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Peamount United W 1+ goals
85%
Peamount United W 2+ goals
56%
Peamount United W 3+ goals
29%
Glentoran BU W 1+ goals
91%
Glentoran BU W 2+ goals
68%
Glentoran BU W 3+ goals
42%

Draw no bet

Peamount United W (draw refunded)
39%
Glentoran BU W (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peamount United W at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

Glentoran BU W away — creates 3.17, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peamount United W attack 2.29 + Glentoran BU W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.90

Glentoran BU W attack 3.17 + Peamount United W defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 2.37

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Peamount United W scores more
32%
level
20%
Glentoran BU W scores more
49%

Glentoran BU W at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Glentoran BU W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

34'
J. Andrews
71'
C. Hamilton
74'
C. Hamilton
86'
C. Hamilton
90+4'
E. Wilson

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Peamount United W vs Glentoran BU W

Glentoran BU W beat Peamount United W 5-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 24, 2023.

Goals: J. Andrews (34'), C. Hamilton (71', 74', 86'), E. Wilson (90+4').

The match was played at PRL Park in Greenogue.