Peamount United W 5–0 DLR Waves W: Result & Stats

Peamount United W

FT

5 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

DLR Waves W

S. Lawless 83' (OG)

E. Ryan-Doyle 79', 31'

Unknown 59'

N. Byrne 4'

5/9/2026

All-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Peamount United W72%

×Draw16%

DLR Waves W12%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Peamount United WExpected goals in this matchDLR Waves W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.73

1.04

Peamount United W

2.73

DLR Waves W

1.04

Peamount United W creates 163% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 6 away

2.29

creates per match

0.50

1.57

allows per match

3.17

creates per match

Peamount United W

2.29

DLR Waves W

0.50

allows per match

Peamount United W

1.57

DLR Waves W

3.17

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Peamount United W+0.00on par

DLR Waves W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peamount United W ↓

DLR Waves W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–17%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–16%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Peamount United W or draw

88%

Peamount United W or DLR Waves W

84%

Draw or DLR Waves W

28%

Winning margin

Peamount United W wins by 2+

51%

DLR Waves W wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Peamount United W 1+ goals

93%

Peamount United W 2+ goals

75%

Peamount United W 3+ goals

50%

DLR Waves W 1+ goals

65%

DLR Waves W 2+ goals

28%

DLR Waves W 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Peamount United W (draw refunded)

86%

DLR Waves W (draw refunded)

14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peamount United W at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

DLR Waves W away — creates 0.50, concedes 3.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peamount United W attack 2.29 + DLR Waves W defence 3.17 → ÷2 → 2.73

DLR Waves W attack 0.50 + Peamount United W defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Peamount United W scores more

72%

level

16%

DLR Waves W scores more

12%

Peamount United W at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Peamount United W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'

N. Byrne

31'

E. Ryan-Doyle

59'

79'

E. Ryan-Doyle

83'

S. LawlessOwn goal

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff