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Peamount United W vs Bohemians WFC W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Peamount United W
Peamount United W
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Bohemians WFC W
Bohemians WFC W
F. Healy 57'
5/18/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3PRL Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Peamount United W50%
×Draw23%
Bohemians WFC W28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Peamount United W
1.86
Bohemians WFC W
1.34

Peamount United W creates 39% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Peamount United W
2.29
Bohemians WFC W
1.11

allows per match

Peamount United W
1.57
Bohemians WFC W
1.44

finishing

Peamount United W+0.00on par
Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peamount United W ↓

Bohemians WFC W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Peamount United W or draw
72%
Peamount United W or Bohemians WFC W
77%
Draw or Bohemians WFC W
50%

Winning margin

Peamount United W wins by 2+
28%
Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Peamount United W 1+ goals
84%
Peamount United W 2+ goals
55%
Peamount United W 3+ goals
28%
Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals
74%
Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals
39%
Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Peamount United W (draw refunded)
64%
Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peamount United W at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

Bohemians WFC W away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peamount United W attack 2.29 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.86

Bohemians WFC W attack 1.11 + Peamount United W defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Peamount United W scores more
50%
level
23%
Bohemians WFC W scores more
28%

Peamount United W at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Peamount United W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

57'
F. Healy

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Peamount United W vs Bohemians WFC W

Peamount United W beat Bohemians WFC W 1-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 18, 2024.

Goals: F. Healy (57').

The match was played at PRL Park in Greenogue.