Paris Saint Germain W 7–0 Soyaux W: Result & Stats

Paris Saint Germain W

FT

7 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Soyaux W

M. Katoto 74', 61', 10'

K. Diani 66'

G. Geyoro 63'

Formiga 45+1'

P. Dudek 40'

4/4/2021

Feminine Division 1 · Round 18Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Paris Saint Germain W81%

×Draw13%

Soyaux W6%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Paris Saint Germain WExpected goals in this matchSoyaux W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.68

0.59

Paris Saint Germain W

2.68

Soyaux W

0.59

Paris Saint Germain W creates 354% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 54 away

3.17

creates per match

0.76

0.42

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Paris Saint Germain W

3.17

Soyaux W

0.76

allows per match

Paris Saint Germain W

0.42

Soyaux W

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Paris Saint Germain W+0.00on par

Soyaux W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Paris Saint Germain W ↓

Soyaux W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–16%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–012%

3–17%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–08%

4–15%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Paris Saint Germain W or draw

94%

Paris Saint Germain W or Soyaux W

87%

Draw or Soyaux W

19%

Winning margin

Paris Saint Germain W wins by 2+

60%

Soyaux W wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Paris Saint Germain W 1+ goals

93%

Paris Saint Germain W 2+ goals

74%

Paris Saint Germain W 3+ goals

49%

Soyaux W 1+ goals

45%

Soyaux W 2+ goals

12%

Soyaux W 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Paris Saint Germain W (draw refunded)

93%

Soyaux W (draw refunded)

7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Paris Saint Germain W at home — creates 3.17, concedes 0.42 · 84 matches

Soyaux W away — creates 0.76, concedes 2.19 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Paris Saint Germain W attack 3.17 + Soyaux W defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 2.68

Soyaux W attack 0.76 + Paris Saint Germain W defence 0.42 → ÷2 → 0.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 81%?"

Paris Saint Germain W scores more

81%

level

13%

Soyaux W scores more

6%

Paris Saint Germain W at 81% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 81% does not mean "Paris Saint Germain W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

M. Katoto↳ S. Baltimore

30'

H. Akaba← M. Perea

34'

P. Morroni

40'

P. Dudek↳ S. Baltimore

45+1'

Formiga↳ S. Däbritz

61'

M. Katoto↳ S. Däbritz

63'

G. Geyoro↳ M. Katoto

65'

N. Nadim← G. Geyoro

66'

K. Diani

68'

V. Gregoire← A. Benoit

72'

72'

72'

74'

Paris

Soyaux

1

5

9

6

11

▼

Perea

4

▼

Tandia

10

▼

3

2

7

8

16

14

4

⚽

Dudek

20

Morroni

5

Cook

24

⚽

Formiga

13

A

▼

Däbritz

8

⚽

▼

Geyoro

21

A

Baltimore

11

⚽

▼

Diani

9

⚽3A

Katoto

Manager: O. Echouafni

65'▲N. Nadim←▼G. Geyoro

72'▲L. Fazer←▼S. Däbritz

72'▲J. Huitema←▼K. Diani

Paris Saint Germain W substitutes

10Nadim18Fazer23Huitema12Lawrence1Voll7Bachmann22Bruun

Manager: L. Mortel

30'▲H. Akaba←▼M. Perea

68'▲V. Gregoire←▼A. Benoit

72'▲Tamires←▼S. Tandia

Soyaux W substitutes

15Akaba12Gregoire14Tamires13Collin16Donnary17Bottega18Boudaud

Feminine Division 1: Paris Saint Germain W 7–0 Soyaux W

Paris Saint Germain W beat Soyaux W 7-0 in Feminine Division 1 on April 4, 2021.

Goals: M. Katoto (10', 61', 74'), P. Dudek (40'), Formiga (45+1'), G. Geyoro (63'), K. Diani (66').

The match was played at Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre in Saint-Germain-en-Laye.

Paris Saint Germain W vs Soyaux W — Feminine Division 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Feminine Division 1: Paris Saint Germain W 7–0 Soyaux W