Paris Saint Germain W 3–0 Dijon W: Result & Stats

Paris Saint Germain W

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Dijon W

3/31/2024

Feminine Division 1 · Round 19Training Center Paris Saint Germain Terrain 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Paris Saint Germain W77%

×Draw15%

Dijon W8%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Paris Saint Germain WExpected goals in this matchDijon W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.54

0.68

Paris Saint Germain W

2.54

Dijon W

0.68

Paris Saint Germain W creates 274% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 87 away

3.17

creates per match

0.93

0.42

allows per match

1.92

creates per match

Paris Saint Germain W

3.17

Dijon W

0.93

allows per match

Paris Saint Germain W

0.42

Dijon W

1.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Paris Saint Germain W+0.00on par

Dijon W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Paris Saint Germain W ↓

Dijon W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–17%

1–22%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–011%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–07%

4–15%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Paris Saint Germain W or draw

92%

Paris Saint Germain W or Dijon W

85%

Draw or Dijon W

23%

Winning margin

Paris Saint Germain W wins by 2+

55%

Dijon W wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Paris Saint Germain W 1+ goals

92%

Paris Saint Germain W 2+ goals

72%

Paris Saint Germain W 3+ goals

46%

Dijon W 1+ goals

49%

Dijon W 2+ goals

15%

Dijon W 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Paris Saint Germain W (draw refunded)

91%

Dijon W (draw refunded)

9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Paris Saint Germain W at home — creates 3.17, concedes 0.42 · 84 matches

Dijon W away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.92 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Paris Saint Germain W attack 3.17 + Dijon W defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 2.54

Dijon W attack 0.93 + Paris Saint Germain W defence 0.42 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Paris Saint Germain W scores more

77%

level

15%

Dijon W scores more

8%

Paris Saint Germain W at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Paris Saint Germain W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Feminine Division 1: Paris Saint Germain W 3–0 Dijon W

Paris Saint Germain W beat Dijon W 3-0 in Feminine Division 1 on March 31, 2024.

The match was played at Training Center Paris Saint Germain Terrain 5 in Poissy.

Paris Saint Germain W vs Dijon W — Feminine Division 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Feminine Division 1: Paris Saint Germain W 3–0 Dijon W