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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Paris 57%Draw 20%23% Monaco
2.28Expected xG1.39

Over / Under 2.5

71%

Over

29%

Under

Both Score

67%

Yes

33%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

1-1

8%

3-1

7%

xG Profile (8 home / 5 away matches)

Paris Saint Germain

xG 2.15 · xGA 1.38

+0.98 vs xG

Monaco

xG 1.4 · xGA 2.41

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Monaco
Monaco
K. Kvaratskhelia 66'
Marquinhos 60'
J. Teze 90'
M. Akliouche 45'
Date
Feb 25, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · Round of 32
Referee
I. Kovacs
Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Paris Saint Germain

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53764%
  • Under 2.52136%

Both teams scored

48%BTTS
  • Yes2848%
  • No3052%

Monaco

Over / Under 2.5

65%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53065%
  • Under 2.51635%

Both teams scored

65%BTTS
  • Yes3065%
  • No1635%

Match Events

-5'
Samuel Nibombe
24'
Denis Zakaria
45'
M. Akliouche↳ M. Coulibaly
48'
Vanderson
55'
Mamadou Coulibaly
58'
Mamadou Coulibaly
58'
Mamadou Coulibaly
60'
Marquinhos↳ D. Doue
62'
J. Teze← A. Bamba
66'
K. Kvaratskhelia↳ A. Hakimi
69'
Lee Kang-In← B. Barcola
74'
C. Mawissa← D. Zakaria
74'
M. Biereth← F. Balogun
74'
S. Adingra← M. Akliouche
80'
L. Hernandez← N. Mendes
87'
D. Fernandez← W. Zaire-Emery
88'
G. Ramos← D. Doue
90+5'
Matvey Safonov
90+4'
S. Nibombe← Vanderson
90'
J. Teze

Possession

73%Paris

Shots

21Paris

Pass accuracy

54%Paris

Statistics

ParisMonaco
Overview
73%Possession27%
21Total Shots10
2.21Expected Goals (xG)1.32
8Corners4
8Fouls12
Shots
21Total Shots10
6On Target4
6Off Target5
9Blocked1
10Inside Box8
11Outside Box2
Passing
73%Possession27%
709Total Passes266
661Accurate Passes210
93%Pass Accuracy79%
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0.82Goals Prevented0.82
Discipline
8Fouls12
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
2Offsides1

Paris Saint Germain 2 – 2 Monaco

Paris Saint Germain and Monaco drew 2-2 in UEFA Champions League on February 25, 2026.

Goals: M. Akliouche (45'), Marquinhos (60'), K. Kvaratskhelia (66'), J. Teze (90').

Paris Saint Germain controlled possession (73%) and registered 21 shots to 10.

The match was played at Parc des Princes in Paris.