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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Paris 47%Draw 23%30% Chelsea
1.8Expected xG1.38

Over / Under 2.5

61%

Over

39%

Under

Both Score

62%

Yes

38%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

10%

2-1

9%

1-0

8%

xG Profile (8 home / 5 away matches)

Paris Saint Germain

xG 2.15 · xGA 1.38

+0.98 vs xG

Chelsea

xG 1.39 · xGA 1.46

+0.41 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germainadvanced
FT
5 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
K. Kvaratskhelia 90', 86'
Vitinha 74'
O. Dembele 40'
B. Barcola 10'
E. Fernandez 57'
M. Gusto 28'
Date
Mar 11, 2026, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · Round of 16
Referee
A. Hernandez
Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Paris Saint Germain

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53764%
  • Under 2.52136%

Both teams scored

48%BTTS
  • Yes2848%
  • No3052%

Chelsea

Over / Under 2.5

68%over 2.5
  • Over 2.54268%
  • Under 2.52032%

Both teams scored

60%BTTS
  • Yes3760%
  • No2540%

Match Events

10'
B. Barcola↳ J. Neves
28'
M. Gusto↳ E. Fernandez
40'
O. Dembele
57'
E. Fernandez↳ P. Neto
62'
K. Kvaratskhelia← D. Doue
69'
Lee Kang-In← O. Dembele
74'
Vitinha↳ K. Kvaratskhelia
78'
S. Mayulu← B. Barcola
78'
L. Hernandez← W. Zaire-Emery
83'
L. Delap← Joao Pedro
83'
R. Lavia← C. Palmer
86'
K. Kvaratskhelia↳ W. Pacho
88'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
88'
A. Garnacho← M. Gusto
90'
K. Kvaratskhelia↳ A. Hakimi

Possession

58%Paris

Shots

9Paris

Pass accuracy

51%Paris

Statistics

ParisChelsea
Overview
58%Possession42%
9Total Shots9
0.90Expected Goals (xG)1.57
2Corners3
14Fouls7
Shots
9Total Shots9
8On Target4
0Off Target3
1Blocked2
6Inside Box8
3Outside Box1
Passing
58%Possession42%
587Total Passes419
518Accurate Passes350
88%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
-3.21Goals Prevented-3.21
Discipline
14Fouls7
1Yellow Cards0
2Offsides2

Paris Saint Germain 5 – 2 Chelsea

Paris Saint Germain beat Chelsea 5-2 in UEFA Champions League on March 11, 2026.

Goals: B. Barcola (10'), M. Gusto (28'), O. Dembele (40'), E. Fernandez (57'), Vitinha (74'), K. Kvaratskhelia (86', 90').

Paris Saint Germain controlled possession (58%) and registered 9 shots to 9.

The match was played at Parc des Princes in Paris.