Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Pardubice W vs Slavia Praha W — 1. Liga Women 2020

Pardubice W
Pardubice W
FT
0 – 6
HT: 0 – 3
Slavia Praha W
Slavia Praha W
W. M. Nekesa 78', 69'
K. Ruzickova 62'
H. K. Stackpole 35'
T. Moravkova 22'
F. Cerna 11'
10/15/20231. Liga Women1. Liga Women · Round 7Stadion K Vinici

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

Pardubice W4%
×Draw8%
Slavia Praha W88%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pardubice W
0.70
Slavia Praha W
3.66

Slavia Praha W creates 423% more chances

Season form · 40 home / 60 away

creates per match

Pardubice W
0.72
Slavia Praha W
4.05

allows per match

Pardubice W
3.27
Slavia Praha W
0.67

finishing

Pardubice W+0.00on par
Slavia Praha W+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pardubice W ↓

Slavia Praha W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–15%
0–29%
0–311%
0–410%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–27%
1–38%
1–47%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–22%
2–33%
2–43%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–3 (11%) · grid covers 75% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Pardubice W or draw
12%
Pardubice W or Slavia Praha W
92%
Draw or Slavia Praha W
96%

Winning margin

Pardubice W wins by 2+
1%
Slavia Praha W wins by 2+
73%

Team goals

Pardubice W 1+ goals
50%
Pardubice W 2+ goals
16%
Pardubice W 3+ goals
3%
Slavia Praha W 1+ goals
97%
Slavia Praha W 2+ goals
87%
Slavia Praha W 3+ goals
68%

Draw no bet

Pardubice W (draw refunded)
4%
Slavia Praha W (draw refunded)
96%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pardubice W at home — creates 0.72, concedes 3.27 · 40 matches

Slavia Praha W away — creates 4.05, concedes 0.67 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pardubice W attack 0.72 + Slavia Praha W defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.70

Slavia Praha W attack 4.05 + Pardubice W defence 3.27 → ÷2 → 3.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 88%?"

Pardubice W scores more
4%
level
8%
Slavia Praha W scores more
88%

Slavia Praha W at 88% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 88% does not mean "Slavia Praha W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'
F. Cerna
22'
T. Moravkova
35'
H. K. Stackpole
40'
P. Hrobska
46'
G. Slajsova← M. Mclaughlin
46'
F. Cerna← D. Vesela
60'
B. Mrazkova← B. Mrazkova
60'
A. Urbancova← A. Urbancova
60'
A. Chlupacova← A. Chlupacova
62'
K. Ruzickova
69'
W. M. Nekesa
77'
K. Buresova← K. Buresova
78'
W. M. Nekesa
89'
D. Neradova← D. Neradova

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Pardubice W vs Slavia Praha W

Slavia Praha W beat Pardubice W 6-0 in 1. Liga Women on October 15, 2023.

Goals: F. Cerna (11'), T. Moravkova (22'), H. K. Stackpole (35'), K. Ruzickova (62'), W. M. Nekesa (69', 78').

The match was played at Stadion K Vinici in Pardubice.