Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Papua New Guinea W vs Singapore W — Friendlies Women 2026

Papua New Guinea W
Papua New Guinea W
CANC
06:30
Singapore W
Singapore W
9/2/2022Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies 2PNG Football Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Papua New Guinea W83%
×Draw11%
Singapore W6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Papua New Guinea W
3.20
Singapore W
0.80

Papua New Guinea W creates 300% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

Papua New Guinea W
3.00
Singapore W
0.60

allows per match

Papua New Guinea W
1.00
Singapore W
3.40

finishing

Papua New Guinea W+0.00on par
Singapore W+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Papua New Guinea W ↓

Singapore W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–15%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Papua New Guinea W or draw
94%
Papua New Guinea W or Singapore W
89%
Draw or Singapore W
17%

Winning margin

Papua New Guinea W wins by 2+
65%
Singapore W wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Papua New Guinea W 1+ goals
96%
Papua New Guinea W 2+ goals
82%
Papua New Guinea W 3+ goals
60%
Singapore W 1+ goals
55%
Singapore W 2+ goals
19%
Singapore W 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Papua New Guinea W (draw refunded)
93%
Singapore W (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Papua New Guinea W at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Singapore W away — creates 0.60, concedes 3.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Papua New Guinea W attack 3.00 + Singapore W defence 3.40 → ÷2 → 3.20

Singapore W attack 0.60 + Papua New Guinea W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Papua New Guinea W scores more
83%
level
11%
Singapore W scores more
6%

Papua New Guinea W at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Papua New Guinea W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Papua New Guinea W host Singapore W

September 2, 2022: Papua New Guinea W take on Singapore W in Friendlies Women. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Papua New Guinea W host Singapore W at PNG Football Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.