Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Panthère vs Aigle Royal de Moungo — Elite One 2019

Panthère
Panthère
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Aigle Royal de Moungo
Aigle Royal de Moungo
R. M. Yapende 76'
M. Atedzoe 51'
J. Tiba 25'
L. David 2'
6/21/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 25

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Panthère43%
×Draw28%
Aigle Royal de Moungo29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Panthère
1.32
Aigle Royal de Moungo
1.04

Panthère creates 27% more chances

Season form · 64 home / 27 away

creates per match

Panthère
1.23
Aigle Royal de Moungo
1.00

allows per match

Panthère
1.08
Aigle Royal de Moungo
1.41

finishing

Panthère+0.00on par
Aigle Royal de Moungo+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Panthère ↓

Aigle Royal de Moungo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Panthère or draw
71%
Panthère or Aigle Royal de Moungo
72%
Draw or Aigle Royal de Moungo
57%

Winning margin

Panthère wins by 2+
20%
Aigle Royal de Moungo wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Panthère 1+ goals
73%
Panthère 2+ goals
38%
Panthère 3+ goals
15%
Aigle Royal de Moungo 1+ goals
65%
Aigle Royal de Moungo 2+ goals
28%
Aigle Royal de Moungo 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Panthère (draw refunded)
59%
Aigle Royal de Moungo (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Panthère at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.08 · 64 matches

Aigle Royal de Moungo away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.41 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Panthère attack 1.23 + Aigle Royal de Moungo defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.32

Aigle Royal de Moungo attack 1.00 + Panthère defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Panthère scores more
43%
level
28%
Aigle Royal de Moungo scores more
29%

Panthère at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Panthère will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
L. David
25'
J. Tiba
51'
M. Atedzoe
76'
R. M. Yapende

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Panthère vs Aigle Royal de Moungo

Panthère beat Aigle Royal de Moungo 4-0 in Elite One on June 21, 2026.

Goals: L. David (2'), J. Tiba (25'), M. Atedzoe (51'), R. M. Yapende (76').