Panama W 2–0 Bolivia W: Result & Stats

Panama W

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Bolivia W

R. Tanner 77' (pen)

M. Cox 16'

5/30/2025

Friendlies Women · FriendliesEstadio Rommel Fernandez

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Panama W84%

×Draw11%

Bolivia W5%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Panama WExpected goals in this matchBolivia W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.77

0.50

Panama W

2.77

Bolivia W

0.50

Panama W creates 454% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 11 away

2.18

creates per match

0.27

0.73

allows per match

3.36

creates per match

Panama W

2.18

Bolivia W

0.27

allows per match

Panama W

0.73

Bolivia W

3.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Panama W+0.00on par

Bolivia W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Panama W ↓

Bolivia W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–12%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–15%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–014%

3–17%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–010%

4–15%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Panama W or draw

95%

Panama W or Bolivia W

89%

Draw or Bolivia W

16%

Winning margin

Panama W wins by 2+

64%

Bolivia W wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Panama W 1+ goals

94%

Panama W 2+ goals

76%

Panama W 3+ goals

51%

Bolivia W 1+ goals

39%

Bolivia W 2+ goals

9%

Bolivia W 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

Panama W (draw refunded)

95%

Bolivia W (draw refunded)

5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Panama W at home — creates 2.18, concedes 0.73 · 11 matches

Bolivia W away — creates 0.27, concedes 3.36 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Panama W attack 2.18 + Bolivia W defence 3.36 → ÷2 → 2.77

Bolivia W attack 0.27 + Panama W defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 84%?"

Panama W scores more

84%

level

11%

Bolivia W scores more

5%

Panama W at 84% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 84% does not mean "Panama W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'

M. Cox

77'

R. TannerPenalty

Panama

Bolivia

5

3

7

8

9

14

16

17

1

2

4

12

2

3

4

7

8

10

⚽

Cox

13

⚽

20

21

23

Manager: María Antonia Is Piñera

Panama W substitutes

1Morey5Gonzalez6Salazar9Riley11Gray14Jurado15Nieto16Espinosa17Gutierrez18Pon19Camarena22Hernandez

Manager: Rosana Itatí Gómez

Match Recap: Panama W vs Bolivia W

Panama W beat Bolivia W 2-0 in Friendlies Women on May 30, 2025.

Goals: M. Cox (16'), R. Tanner (77' pen).

The match was played at Estadio Rommel Fernandez in Panama City.

Panama W vs Bolivia W — Friendlies Women 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Panama W vs Bolivia W