Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Pakistan W vs Mauritania W — Friendlies Women 2026

Pakistan W
Pakistan W
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Mauritania W
Mauritania W
R. Gangue 20'
4/12/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International WomenStade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Pakistan W60%
×Draw19%
Mauritania W21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pakistan W
2.46
Mauritania W
1.42

Pakistan W creates 73% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Pakistan W
2.25
Mauritania W
2.33

allows per match

Pakistan W
0.50
Mauritania W
2.67

finishing

Pakistan W+0.00on par
Mauritania W+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pakistan W ↓

Mauritania W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Pakistan W or draw
79%
Pakistan W or Mauritania W
81%
Draw or Mauritania W
40%

Winning margin

Pakistan W wins by 2+
39%
Mauritania W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Pakistan W 1+ goals
91%
Pakistan W 2+ goals
70%
Pakistan W 3+ goals
44%
Mauritania W 1+ goals
76%
Mauritania W 2+ goals
41%
Mauritania W 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Pakistan W (draw refunded)
74%
Mauritania W (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pakistan W at home — creates 2.25, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

Mauritania W away — creates 2.33, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pakistan W attack 2.25 + Mauritania W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.46

Mauritania W attack 2.33 + Pakistan W defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Pakistan W scores more
60%
level
19%
Mauritania W scores more
21%

Pakistan W at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Pakistan W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'
R. Gangue

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Pakistan W 0–1 Mauritania W

Mauritania W beat Pakistan W 1-0 in Friendlies Women on April 12, 2026.

Goals: R. Gangue (20').

The match was played at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara in Abidjan.