Pakistan 0–0 Bangladesh U23: Result & Stats

Pakistan

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bangladesh U23

6/1/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalNational Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Pakistan30%

×Draw51%

Bangladesh U2318%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PakistanExpected goals in this matchBangladesh U23

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.50

0.33

Pakistan

0.50

Bangladesh U23

0.33

Pakistan creates 52% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

0.67

creates per match

0.33

allows per match

0.33

creates per match

Pakistan

0.67

Bangladesh U23

0.33

allows per match

Pakistan

0.33

Bangladesh U23

0.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pakistan+0.00on par

Bangladesh U23+0.00on par

Total goals

Under95
Over5

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No89
Yes11

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pakistan ↓

Bangladesh U23 →

0–044%

0–114%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1–022%

1–17%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2–05%

2–12%

2–20%

2–30%

2–40%

3–01%

3–10%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (44%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

56%44%1.5

20%80%2.5

5%95%3.5

1%99%4.5

0%100%

Double chance

Pakistan or draw

82%

Pakistan or Bangladesh U23

49%

Draw or Bangladesh U23

70%

Winning margin

Pakistan wins by 2+

Bangladesh U23 wins by 2+

Team goals

Pakistan 1+ goals

39%

Pakistan 2+ goals

Pakistan 3+ goals

Bangladesh U23 1+ goals

28%

Bangladesh U23 2+ goals

Bangladesh U23 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Pakistan (draw refunded)

62%

Bangladesh U23 (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Pakistan at home — creates 0.67, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Bangladesh U23 away — creates 0.33, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Pakistan attack 0.67 + Bangladesh U23 defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.50

Bangladesh U23 attack 0.33 + Pakistan defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 30%?"

Pakistan scores more

30%

level

51%

Bangladesh U23 scores more

18%

Pakistan at 30% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 30% does not mean "Pakistan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff