Pakistan 2–0 Afghanistan: Result & Stats

Pakistan

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Afghanistan

H. Hamid 90'

S. Dost 24'

6/10/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalNational Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Pakistan53%

×Draw31%

Afghanistan17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PakistanExpected goals in this matchAfghanistan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

0.54

Pakistan

1.21

Afghanistan

0.54

Pakistan creates 124% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

0.67

creates per match

0.75

0.33

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Pakistan

0.67

Afghanistan

0.75

allows per match

Pakistan

0.33

Afghanistan

1.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pakistan+0.00on par

Afghanistan+0.00on par

Total goals

Under74
Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No71
Yes29

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pakistan ↓

Afghanistan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–19%

0–23%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–021%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

52%48%2.5

26%74%3.5

10%90%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Pakistan or draw

83%

Pakistan or Afghanistan

69%

Draw or Afghanistan

47%

Winning margin

Pakistan wins by 2+

24%

Afghanistan wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Pakistan 1+ goals

70%

Pakistan 2+ goals

34%

Pakistan 3+ goals

12%

Afghanistan 1+ goals

42%

Afghanistan 2+ goals

10%

Afghanistan 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Pakistan (draw refunded)

76%

Afghanistan (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

18%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pakistan at home — creates 0.67, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Afghanistan away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.75 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pakistan attack 0.67 + Afghanistan defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.21

Afghanistan attack 0.75 + Pakistan defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Pakistan scores more

53%

level

31%

Afghanistan scores more

17%

Pakistan at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Pakistan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

24'

S. Dost↳ O. Khan

28'

38'

40'

83'

90'

H. Hamid↳ E. Suliman

Pakistan

Afghanistan

1

7

5

4

3

20

12

10

15

9

11

20

4

3

5

A

Suliman

7

A

Khan

10

Nabi

11

⚽

12

13

17

18

Manager: Stephen Phillip Constantine

Pakistan substitutes

KhanHaiderSamadKhattakA.AliHamidKhan

Manager: Vincenzo Annese

Match Recap: Pakistan vs Afghanistan

Pakistan beat Afghanistan 2-0 in Friendlies on June 10, 2026.

Goals: S. Dost (24'), H. Hamid (90').

The match was played at National Stadium.

Pakistan vs Afghanistan — Friendlies 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Pakistan vs Afghanistan