Pafos 7–0 Krasava Ypsonas: Result & Stats

Pafos

FT

7 – 0

HT: 4 – 0

Krasava Ypsonas

M. Bassouamina 90'

Jaja 85'

J. Correia 48', 42', 38', 13'

Anderson Silva 18'

3/7/2026

1. Division · Round 25Stelios Kyriakides Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Pafos63%

×Draw21%

Krasava Ypsonas16%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PafosExpected goals in this matchKrasava Ypsonas

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.97

0.88

Pafos

1.97

Krasava Ypsonas

0.88

Pafos creates 124% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 16 away

2.38

creates per match

0.94

0.81

allows per match

1.56

creates per match

Pafos

2.38

Krasava Ypsonas

0.94

allows per match

Pafos

0.81

Krasava Ypsonas

1.56

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pafos+0.00on par

Krasava Ypsonas+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pafos ↓

Krasava Ypsonas →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–15%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–110%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Pafos or draw

84%

Pafos or Krasava Ypsonas

79%

Draw or Krasava Ypsonas

37%

Winning margin

Pafos wins by 2+

38%

Krasava Ypsonas wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Pafos 1+ goals

86%

Pafos 2+ goals

58%

Pafos 3+ goals

31%

Krasava Ypsonas 1+ goals

59%

Krasava Ypsonas 2+ goals

22%

Krasava Ypsonas 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Pafos (draw refunded)

80%

Krasava Ypsonas (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pafos at home — creates 2.38, concedes 0.81 · 26 matches

Krasava Ypsonas away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.56 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pafos attack 2.38 + Krasava Ypsonas defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.97

Krasava Ypsonas attack 0.94 + Pafos defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Pafos scores more

63%

level

21%

Krasava Ypsonas scores more

16%

Pafos at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Pafos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

77

J. Correia

Pafos · M

10.0

Match Events

13'

15'

18'

38'

42'

48'

54'

56'

K. Pileas← N. Ioannou

56'

O. Mimovic← D. Luckassen

61'

D. Melnichenko← D. Cheryshev

61'

Y. Bahassa← Julio Cesar

61'

D. Ankeye← P. Lipski

74'

M. Bassouamina← J. Correia

74'

M. Orsic← K. Sema

74'

E. Budnik← A. Bah

74'

M. Camus← M. Do Couto

79'

Jaja← Pepe

85'

Jaja

90'

M. Bassouamina

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PafosKrasava

Overview

61%Possession39%

27Total Shots9

4.43Expected Goals (xG)0.71

7Corners5

10Fouls6

Shots

27Total Shots9

12On Target1

9Off Target5

4Blocked3

21Inside Box4

6Outside Box5

Passing

61%Possession39%

506Total Passes327

452Accurate Passes268

89%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

Discipline

10Fouls6

1Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

0Offsides0