PAC Academy 0–0 Eleven Wise: Result & Stats

PAC Academy

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Eleven Wise

3/8/2026

Division One League · Round 22

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

PAC Academy73%

×Draw20%

Eleven Wise7%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PAC AcademyExpected goals in this matchEleven Wise

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.87

0.40

PAC Academy

1.87

Eleven Wise

0.40

PAC Academy creates 368% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.47

creates per match

0.13

0.67

allows per match

2.27

creates per match

PAC Academy

1.47

Eleven Wise

0.13

allows per match

PAC Academy

0.67

Eleven Wise

2.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

PAC Academy+0.00on par

Eleven Wise+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No72
Yes28

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

PAC Academy ↓

Eleven Wise →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–14%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–18%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–018%

2–17%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–011%

3–15%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–12%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

PAC Academy or draw

93%

PAC Academy or Eleven Wise

80%

Draw or Eleven Wise

27%

Winning margin

PAC Academy wins by 2+

46%

Eleven Wise wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

PAC Academy 1+ goals

85%

PAC Academy 2+ goals

56%

PAC Academy 3+ goals

29%

Eleven Wise 1+ goals

33%

Eleven Wise 2+ goals

6%

Eleven Wise 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

PAC Academy (draw refunded)

91%

Eleven Wise (draw refunded)

9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

20%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

PAC Academy at home — creates 1.47, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Eleven Wise away — creates 0.13, concedes 2.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

PAC Academy attack 1.47 + Eleven Wise defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 1.87

Eleven Wise attack 0.13 + PAC Academy defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

PAC Academy scores more

73%

level

20%

Eleven Wise scores more

7%

PAC Academy at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "PAC Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff