Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC — Superliga 2026

FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Randers FC
Randers FC
G. Donyoh 64'
M. Kallesøe 18'
8/19/2016SuperligaSuperliga · Round 6Right to Dream Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 23+ matches

FC Nordsjaelland49%
×Draw23%
Randers FC28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Nordsjaelland
1.76
Randers FC
1.27

FC Nordsjaelland creates 39% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 23 away

creates per match

FC Nordsjaelland
2.12
Randers FC
1.35

allows per match

FC Nordsjaelland
1.20
Randers FC
1.40

finishing

FC Nordsjaelland-0.03on par
Randers FC-0.35scores less

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Nordsjaelland ↓

Randers FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

FC Nordsjaelland or draw
72%
FC Nordsjaelland or Randers FC
77%
Draw or Randers FC
51%

Winning margin

FC Nordsjaelland wins by 2+
26%
Randers FC wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FC Nordsjaelland 1+ goals
83%
FC Nordsjaelland 2+ goals
52%
FC Nordsjaelland 3+ goals
26%
Randers FC 1+ goals
72%
Randers FC 2+ goals
36%
Randers FC 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FC Nordsjaelland (draw refunded)
64%
Randers FC (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Nordsjaelland at home — creates 2.12, concedes 1.20 · 23 matches

Randers FC away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.40 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Nordsjaelland attack 2.12 + Randers FC defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.76

Randers FC attack 1.35 + FC Nordsjaelland defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

FC Nordsjaelland scores more
49%
level
23%
Randers FC scores more
28%

FC Nordsjaelland at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "FC Nordsjaelland will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'
M. Kallesøe
45'
Jonas Bager
56'
K. Enghardt← J. Bager
62'
E. Asante← M. Rasmussen
63'
A. Skovgaard← C. Køhler
64'
G. Donyoh
67'
Ramon
69'
M. Pourié← M. Mitrovic
78'
M. Jensen← A. Mohammed
85'
E. Babayan← M. Kallesøe

Possession

45%FC

Shots

9FC

Statistics

FCRanders
Overview
45%Possession55%
9Total Shots7
7Corners3
9Fouls11
Shots
9Total Shots7
5On Target4
4Off Target3
Passing
45%Possession55%
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
Discipline
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Offsides0

Superliga: FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 Randers FC

FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC drew 1-1 in Superliga on August 19, 2016.

Goals: M. Kallesøe (18'), G. Donyoh (64').

Randers FC controlled possession (55%) and registered 7 shots to 9.

The match was played at Right to Dream Park in Farum.