Orense SC 0–0 Delfin SC: Result & Stats | Liga Pro

Orense SC

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Delfin SC

4/19/2026

Liga Pro · Round 9Estadio 9 de Mayo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

Orense SC51%

×Draw27%

Delfin SC22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Orense SCExpected goals in this matchDelfin SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

0.84

Orense SC

1.43

Delfin SC

0.84

Orense SC creates 70% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

1.65

creates per match

0.43

1.25

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Orense SC

1.65

Delfin SC

0.43

allows per match

Orense SC

1.25

Delfin SC

1.21

-0.21scores less than expected

finishing

-0.13scores less than expected

finishing

Orense SC-0.21scores less

Delfin SC-0.13scores less

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Orense SC ↓

Delfin SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Orense SC or draw

78%

Orense SC or Delfin SC

73%

Draw or Delfin SC

49%

Winning margin

Orense SC wins by 2+

25%

Delfin SC wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Orense SC 1+ goals

76%

Orense SC 2+ goals

42%

Orense SC 3+ goals

17%

Delfin SC 1+ goals

57%

Delfin SC 2+ goals

21%

Delfin SC 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Orense SC (draw refunded)

70%

Delfin SC (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Orense SC at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.25 · 9 matches

Delfin SC away — creates 0.43, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Orense SC attack 1.65 + Delfin SC defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.43

Delfin SC attack 0.43 + Orense SC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Orense SC scores more

51%

level

27%

Delfin SC scores more

22%

Orense SC at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Orense SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

B. Heras

Delfin SC · G

8.3

Match Events

11'

R. Jaramilo← N. Molina

24'

E. Cabeza

24'

E. Rubio

45+1'

J. L. Castillo Saa

46'

E. S. Zambrano Pesantez← V. Burgoa

46'

D. Armas← M. Bermudez

62'

E. Caicedo← A. Herrera

62'

B. Vinan← A. Mena

62'

J. Morocho← J. Cavallaro

62'

E. Zuniga← J. L. Castillo Saa

73'

B. Heras

76'

S. Callegari

76'

J. Valverde

82'

K. Ushina← E. Mendoza

90+2'

E. Mendoza

90+3'

E. Yepez← F. Ayunta

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OrenseDelfin

Overview

75%Possession25%

11Total Shots5

6Corners1

14Fouls12

Shots

11Total Shots5

6On Target0

2Off Target5

3Blocked0

4Inside Box3

7Outside Box2

Passing

75%Possession25%

511Total Passes175

436Accurate Passes96

85%Pass Accuracy55%

Goalkeeping

0Saves6

Discipline

14Fouls12

1Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards1

3Offsides0