Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Oppsal vs Pors Grenland II — 3. Division - Girone 6 2020

Oppsal
Oppsal
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Pors Grenland II
Pors Grenland II
9/14/20253. Division - Girone 63. Division - Girone 6 · Group 6 - 20Trasop kunstgress

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Oppsal74%
×Draw14%
Pors Grenland II12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oppsal
3.22
Pors Grenland II
1.28

Oppsal creates 152% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 13 away

creates per match

Oppsal
1.82
Pors Grenland II
0.92

allows per match

Oppsal
1.64
Pors Grenland II
4.62

finishing

Oppsal+0.00on par
Pors Grenland II+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oppsal ↓

Pors Grenland II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–15%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–17%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
64%36%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

Oppsal or draw
88%
Oppsal or Pors Grenland II
86%
Draw or Pors Grenland II
26%

Winning margin

Oppsal wins by 2+
55%
Pors Grenland II wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Oppsal 1+ goals
96%
Oppsal 2+ goals
82%
Oppsal 3+ goals
61%
Pors Grenland II 1+ goals
72%
Pors Grenland II 2+ goals
37%
Pors Grenland II 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Oppsal (draw refunded)
86%
Pors Grenland II (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oppsal at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.64 · 33 matches

Pors Grenland II away — creates 0.92, concedes 4.62 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oppsal attack 1.82 + Pors Grenland II defence 4.62 → ÷2 → 3.22

Pors Grenland II attack 0.92 + Oppsal defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Oppsal scores more
74%
level
14%
Pors Grenland II scores more
12%

Oppsal at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Oppsal will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Oppsal vs Pors Grenland II

Oppsal and Pors Grenland II drew 2-2 in 3. Division - Girone 6 on September 14, 2025.

The match was played at Trasop kunstgress in Oslo.