Once Caldas W 0–2 Deportivo Cali W: Result & Stats

Once Caldas W

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Deportivo Cali W

4/15/2026

Liga Femenina · Round 7Estadio Palogrande

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Once Caldas W22%

×Draw27%

Deportivo Cali W51%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Once Caldas WExpected goals in this matchDeportivo Cali W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.86

1.46

Once Caldas W

0.86

Deportivo Cali W

1.46

Deportivo Cali W creates 70% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 61 away

0.73

creates per match

1.52

1.40

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Once Caldas W

0.73

Deportivo Cali W

1.52

allows per match

Once Caldas W

1.40

Deportivo Cali W

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Once Caldas W+0.00on par

Deportivo Cali W+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Once Caldas W ↓

Deportivo Cali W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–114%

0–210%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–15%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Once Caldas W or draw

49%

Once Caldas W or Deportivo Cali W

73%

Draw or Deportivo Cali W

78%

Winning margin

Once Caldas W wins by 2+

7%

Deportivo Cali W wins by 2+

26%

Team goals

Once Caldas W 1+ goals

58%

Once Caldas W 2+ goals

21%

Once Caldas W 3+ goals

6%

Deportivo Cali W 1+ goals

77%

Deportivo Cali W 2+ goals

43%

Deportivo Cali W 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Once Caldas W (draw refunded)

30%

Deportivo Cali W (draw refunded)

70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Once Caldas W at home — creates 0.73, concedes 1.40 · 15 matches

Deportivo Cali W away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.00 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Once Caldas W attack 0.73 + Deportivo Cali W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.86

Deportivo Cali W attack 1.52 + Once Caldas W defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Once Caldas W scores more

22%

level

27%

Deportivo Cali W scores more

51%

Deportivo Cali W at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Deportivo Cali W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Once Caldas W vs Deportivo Cali W

Deportivo Cali W beat Once Caldas W 2-0 in Liga Femenina on April 15, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio Palogrande in Manizales.

Once Caldas W vs Deportivo Cali W — Liga Femenina 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Once Caldas W vs Deportivo Cali W