Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 6+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
42%
Over
58%
Under
Both Score
48%
Yes
52%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
0-1
11%
xG Profile (6 home / 7 away matches)
Once Caldas
xG 1.31 · xGA 1.21
+1.02 vs xG
Atletico Nacional
xG 1.1 · xGA 1.13
+0.04 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- May 1, 2026, 11:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primera A · Apertura - 19
- Referee
- Jose Bautista (Colombia)
- Venue
- Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Once Caldas
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52149%
- Under 2.52251%
Both teams scored
- Yes2865%
- No1535%
Atletico Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.5950%
- Under 2.5950%
Both teams scored
- Yes739%
- No1161%
Player of the match
Match Events

If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Once Caldas host Atletico Nacional on Friday, 1 May 2026 at 23:00. The match is part of the Primera A 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas beat Atletico Nacional 1-0 in Primera A on May 1, 2026.
Goals: L. Sanchez (46').
Atletico Nacional controlled possession (55%) and registered 13 shots to 17.
The match was played at Estadio Palogrande in Manizales.
























