Omonia Nicosia 0–0 Kairat Almaty: Result & Stats

Omonia Nicosia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Kairat Almaty

12/9/2021

UEFA Europa Conference League · Group Stage - 6Neo GSP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Omonia Nicosia52%

×Draw24%

Kairat Almaty25%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Omonia NicosiaExpected goals in this matchKairat Almaty

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.72

1.11

Omonia Nicosia

1.72

Kairat Almaty

1.11

Omonia Nicosia creates 55% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 5 away

1.83

creates per match

1.40

0.83

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Omonia Nicosia

1.83

Kairat Almaty

1.40

allows per match

Omonia Nicosia

0.83

Kairat Almaty

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Omonia Nicosia+0.00on par

Kairat Almaty+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Omonia Nicosia ↓

Kairat Almaty →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Omonia Nicosia or draw

75%

Omonia Nicosia or Kairat Almaty

76%

Draw or Kairat Almaty

48%

Winning margin

Omonia Nicosia wins by 2+

28%

Kairat Almaty wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Omonia Nicosia 1+ goals

82%

Omonia Nicosia 2+ goals

51%

Omonia Nicosia 3+ goals

25%

Kairat Almaty 1+ goals

67%

Kairat Almaty 2+ goals

30%

Kairat Almaty 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Omonia Nicosia (draw refunded)

68%

Kairat Almaty (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Omonia Nicosia at home — creates 1.83, concedes 0.83 · 18 matches

Kairat Almaty away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Omonia Nicosia attack 1.83 + Kairat Almaty defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.72

Kairat Almaty attack 1.40 + Omonia Nicosia defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Omonia Nicosia scores more

52%

level

24%

Kairat Almaty scores more

25%

Omonia Nicosia at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Omonia Nicosia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

23

F. Uzoho

Omonia Nicosia · G

8.2

Match Events

15'

23'

30'

39'

57'

T. Hubočan← J. Lecjaks

58'

I. Atiemwen← É. Bauthéac

58'

Jordi Gómez← F. Bachirou

65'

L. Loizou← P. Zachariou

66'

Aibol Abiken

72'

Macky Frank Bagnack

73'

J. Kanté← A. Abiken

76'

M. Diskerud← C. Charalampous

86'

Y. Seidakhmet← João Paulo

86'

A. Buranchiev← D. Mikanović

90+4'

Sergey Keiler

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OmoniaKairat

Overview

64%Possession36%

9Total Shots8

6Corners5

8Fouls21

Shots

9Total Shots8

0On Target3

6Off Target2

3Blocked3

4Inside Box5

5Outside Box3

Passing

64%Possession36%

484Total Passes264

394Accurate Passes155

81%Pass Accuracy59%

Goalkeeping

3Saves0

Discipline

8Fouls21

0Yellow Cards7

0Offsides2

Match Recap: Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty

Omonia Nicosia and Kairat Almaty drew 0-0 in UEFA Europa Conference League on December 9, 2021.

Omonia Nicosia controlled possession (64%) and registered 9 shots to 8.

The match was played at Neo GSP in Levkosía.

Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty