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Omladinac NB vs Kabel Novi Sad — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Omladinac NB
Omladinac NB
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Kabel Novi Sad
Kabel Novi Sad
6/7/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 30Stadion FK Omladinac

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Omladinac NB48%
×Draw26%
Kabel Novi Sad26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Omladinac NB
1.49
Kabel Novi Sad
1.04

Omladinac NB creates 43% more chances

Season form · 101 home / 44 away

creates per match

Omladinac NB
1.61
Kabel Novi Sad
0.93

allows per match

Omladinac NB
1.15
Kabel Novi Sad
1.36

finishing

Omladinac NB+0.00on par
Kabel Novi Sad+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Omladinac NB ↓

Kabel Novi Sad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Omladinac NB or draw
74%
Omladinac NB or Kabel Novi Sad
74%
Draw or Kabel Novi Sad
52%

Winning margin

Omladinac NB wins by 2+
24%
Kabel Novi Sad wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Omladinac NB 1+ goals
77%
Omladinac NB 2+ goals
44%
Omladinac NB 3+ goals
19%
Kabel Novi Sad 1+ goals
65%
Kabel Novi Sad 2+ goals
28%
Kabel Novi Sad 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Omladinac NB (draw refunded)
64%
Kabel Novi Sad (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Omladinac NB at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.15 · 101 matches

Kabel Novi Sad away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.36 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Omladinac NB attack 1.61 + Kabel Novi Sad defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.49

Kabel Novi Sad attack 0.93 + Omladinac NB defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Omladinac NB scores more
48%
level
26%
Kabel Novi Sad scores more
26%

Omladinac NB at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Omladinac NB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Omladinac NB vs Kabel Novi Sad

Omladinac NB and Kabel Novi Sad drew 1-1 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on June 7, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion FK Omladinac in Novi Banovci.