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Oman vs Jordan — Friendlies 2026

Oman
Oman
FT
0 – 0
Jordan
Jordan
3/20/2021FriendliesFriendlies · Friendlies 3Maktoum Bin Rashid al Maktoum Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Oman55%
×Draw27%
Jordan18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oman
1.41
Jordan
0.68

Oman creates 107% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 26 away

creates per match

Oman
1.05
Jordan
0.88

allows per match

Oman
0.47
Jordan
1.77

finishing

Oman+0.00on par
Jordan+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oman ↓

Jordan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Oman or draw
82%
Oman or Jordan
73%
Draw or Jordan
45%

Winning margin

Oman wins by 2+
27%
Jordan wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Oman 1+ goals
76%
Oman 2+ goals
41%
Oman 3+ goals
17%
Jordan 1+ goals
49%
Jordan 2+ goals
15%
Jordan 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Oman (draw refunded)
75%
Jordan (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oman at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.47 · 19 matches

Jordan away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.77 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oman attack 1.05 + Jordan defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.41

Jordan attack 0.88 + Oman defence 0.47 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Oman scores more
55%
level
27%
Jordan scores more
18%

Oman at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Oman will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'
H. Al Daradreh
47'
J. Al Habsi
51'
Haddad E
82'
H. Al Daradreh← Y. A. Alnaimat
85'
M. Al Dumeiri
88'
H. Al Saadi

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies: Oman 0–0 Jordan

Oman and Jordan drew 0-0 in Friendlies on March 20, 2021.

The match was played at Maktoum Bin Rashid al Maktoum Stadium in Dubai.