Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Kokand-1912 — Pro League A 2026

Olimpik-Mobiuz
Olimpik-Mobiuz
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Kokand-1912
Kokand-1912
R. Fayzullaev 70'
M. Komilov 10'
S. Gvazava 46'
S. Beshimov 37' (pen)
9/9/2024Pro League APro League A · Round 19

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Olimpik-Mobiuz37%
×Draw30%
Kokand-191233%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.08
Kokand-1912
1.02

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 29 home / 14 away

creates per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.59
Kokand-1912
1.00

allows per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.03
Kokand-1912
0.57

finishing

Olimpik-Mobiuz+0.00on par
Kokand-1912+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpik-Mobiuz ↓

Kokand-1912 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Olimpik-Mobiuz or draw
67%
Olimpik-Mobiuz or Kokand-1912
70%
Draw or Kokand-1912
63%

Winning margin

Olimpik-Mobiuz wins by 2+
15%
Kokand-1912 wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Olimpik-Mobiuz 1+ goals
66%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2+ goals
29%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 3+ goals
10%
Kokand-1912 1+ goals
64%
Kokand-1912 2+ goals
27%
Kokand-1912 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Olimpik-Mobiuz (draw refunded)
52%
Kokand-1912 (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpik-Mobiuz at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.03 · 29 matches

Kokand-1912 away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpik-Mobiuz attack 1.59 + Kokand-1912 defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 1.08

Kokand-1912 attack 1.00 + Olimpik-Mobiuz defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Olimpik-Mobiuz scores more
37%
level
30%
Kokand-1912 scores more
33%

Olimpik-Mobiuz at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Olimpik-Mobiuz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
M. Komilov
37'
S. BeshimovPenalty
46'
S. Gvazava
70'
R. Fayzullaev

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Kokand-1912

Olimpik-Mobiuz and Kokand-1912 drew 2-2 in Pro League A on September 9, 2024.

Goals: M. Komilov (10'), S. Beshimov (37' pen), S. Gvazava (46'), R. Fayzullaev (70').