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Olimpia Cluj W vs Ladies Târgu Mureş W — Liga 1 Feminin 2020

Olimpia Cluj W
Olimpia Cluj W
FT
9 – 0
Ladies Târgu Mureş W
Ladies Târgu Mureş W
9/5/2021Liga 1 FemininLiga 1 Feminin · Round 2Stadionul Clujana

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Olimpia Cluj W84%
×Draw9%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Olimpia Cluj W
4.09
Ladies Târgu Mureş W
1.18

Olimpia Cluj W creates 247% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 35 away

creates per match

Olimpia Cluj W
3.72
Ladies Târgu Mureş W
1.34

allows per match

Olimpia Cluj W
1.01
Ladies Târgu Mureş W
4.46

finishing

Olimpia Cluj W+0.00on par
Ladies Târgu Mureş W+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpia Cluj W ↓

Ladies Târgu Mureş W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–13%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–07%
4–18%
4–25%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 69% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
55%45%

Double chance

Olimpia Cluj W or draw
93%
Olimpia Cluj W or Ladies Târgu Mureş W
91%
Draw or Ladies Târgu Mureş W
16%

Winning margin

Olimpia Cluj W wins by 2+
69%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Olimpia Cluj W 1+ goals
98%
Olimpia Cluj W 2+ goals
90%
Olimpia Cluj W 3+ goals
74%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W 1+ goals
69%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W 2+ goals
33%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Olimpia Cluj W (draw refunded)
93%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W (draw refunded)
7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpia Cluj W at home — creates 3.72, concedes 1.01 · 71 matches

Ladies Târgu Mureş W away — creates 1.34, concedes 4.46 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpia Cluj W attack 3.72 + Ladies Târgu Mureş W defence 4.46 → ÷2 → 4.09

Ladies Târgu Mureş W attack 1.34 + Olimpia Cluj W defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 84%?"

Olimpia Cluj W scores more
84%
level
9%
Ladies Târgu Mureş W scores more
7%

Olimpia Cluj W at 84% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 84% does not mean "Olimpia Cluj W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga 1 Feminin: Olimpia Cluj W 9–0 Ladies Târgu Mureş W

Olimpia Cluj W beat Ladies Târgu Mureş W 9-0 in Liga 1 Feminin on September 5, 2021.

The match was played at Stadionul Clujana in Cluj-Napoca.