Olimpia Cluj W 9–1 Hermannstadt W: Result & Stats

Olimpia Cluj W

FT

9 – 1

Hermannstadt W

9/1/2024

Liga 1 Feminin · Round 2Stadion Comunal Arena Iclod

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Olimpia Cluj W93%

×Draw5%

Hermannstadt W2%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Olimpia Cluj WExpected goals in this matchHermannstadt W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

4.79

0.81

Olimpia Cluj W

4.79

Hermannstadt W

0.81

Olimpia Cluj W creates 491% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 13 away

3.72

creates per match

0.62

1.01

allows per match

5.85

creates per match

Olimpia Cluj W

3.72

Hermannstadt W

0.62

allows per match

Olimpia Cluj W

1.01

Hermannstadt W

5.85

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Olimpia Cluj W+0.00on par

Hermannstadt W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over90
Under10

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpia Cluj W ↓

Hermannstadt W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–00%

0–10%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–02%

1–12%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–05%

2–14%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–010%

4–18%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 4–0 (10%) · grid covers 60% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

100%0%1.5

97%3%2.5

90%10%3.5

76%24%4.5

57%43%

Double chance

Olimpia Cluj W or draw

98%

Olimpia Cluj W or Hermannstadt W

95%

Draw or Hermannstadt W

7%

Winning margin

Olimpia Cluj W wins by 2+

82%

Hermannstadt W wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Olimpia Cluj W 1+ goals

99%

Olimpia Cluj W 2+ goals

94%

Olimpia Cluj W 3+ goals

82%

Hermannstadt W 1+ goals

56%

Hermannstadt W 2+ goals

19%

Hermannstadt W 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Olimpia Cluj W (draw refunded)

98%

Hermannstadt W (draw refunded)

2%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpia Cluj W at home — creates 3.72, concedes 1.01 · 71 matches

Hermannstadt W away — creates 0.62, concedes 5.85 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpia Cluj W attack 3.72 + Hermannstadt W defence 5.85 → ÷2 → 4.79

Hermannstadt W attack 0.62 + Olimpia Cluj W defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 93%?"

Olimpia Cluj W scores more

93%

level

5%

Hermannstadt W scores more

2%

Olimpia Cluj W at 93% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 93% does not mean "Olimpia Cluj W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff