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Oleksandria vs FC Fredericia — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Oleksandria
Oleksandria
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
1/29/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Oleksandria55%
×Draw23%
FC Fredericia22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oleksandria
1.86
FC Fredericia
1.10

Oleksandria creates 69% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 15 away

creates per match

Oleksandria
2.12
FC Fredericia
1.27

allows per match

Oleksandria
0.94
FC Fredericia
1.60

finishing

Oleksandria+0.00on par
FC Fredericia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 57Under: 4357%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 56No: 4456%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oleksandria ↓

FC Fredericia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Oleksandria or draw
78%
Oleksandria or FC Fredericia
77%
Draw or FC Fredericia
45%

Winning margin

Oleksandria wins by 2+
31%
FC Fredericia wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Oleksandria 1+ goals
84%
Oleksandria 2+ goals
55%
Oleksandria 3+ goals
28%
FC Fredericia 1+ goals
67%
FC Fredericia 2+ goals
30%
FC Fredericia 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Oleksandria (draw refunded)
71%
FC Fredericia (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oleksandria at home — creates 2.12, concedes 0.94 · 17 matches

FC Fredericia away — creates 1.27, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oleksandria attack 2.12 + FC Fredericia defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.86

FC Fredericia attack 1.27 + Oleksandria defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Oleksandria scores more
55%
level
23%
FC Fredericia scores more
22%

Oleksandria at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Oleksandria will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Oleksandria
FC
Kyrylo Nesterenko
Manager: Kyrylo Nesterenko
Michael Hansen
Manager: Michael Hansen

Friendlies Clubs: Oleksandria 0–0 FC Fredericia

Oleksandria and FC Fredericia drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 29, 2026.