Okwawu 1–2 Attram de Visser: Result & Stats

Okwawu

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Attram de Visser

12/21/2025

Division One League · Round 12

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Okwawu27%

×Draw26%

Attram de Visser46%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

OkwawuExpected goals in this matchAttram de Visser

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.04

1.44

Okwawu

1.04

Attram de Visser

1.44

Attram de Visser creates 38% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.27

creates per match

1.67

1.20

allows per match

0.80

creates per match

Okwawu

1.27

Attram de Visser

1.67

allows per match

Okwawu

1.20

Attram de Visser

0.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Okwawu+0.00on par

Attram de Visser+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Okwawu ↓

Attram de Visser →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–112%

0–29%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Okwawu or draw

54%

Okwawu or Attram de Visser

74%

Draw or Attram de Visser

73%

Winning margin

Okwawu wins by 2+

10%

Attram de Visser wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Okwawu 1+ goals

65%

Okwawu 2+ goals

28%

Okwawu 3+ goals

9%

Attram de Visser 1+ goals

76%

Attram de Visser 2+ goals

42%

Attram de Visser 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Okwawu (draw refunded)

37%

Attram de Visser (draw refunded)

63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Okwawu at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

Attram de Visser away — creates 1.67, concedes 0.80 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Okwawu attack 1.27 + Attram de Visser defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.04

Attram de Visser attack 1.67 + Okwawu defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Okwawu scores more

27%

level

26%

Attram de Visser scores more

46%

Attram de Visser at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Attram de Visser will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff