Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Oeste U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 — Paulista - U20 2026

Oeste U20
Oeste U20
Preview
18:00
XV de Piracicaba U20
XV de Piracicaba U20
7/31/2026Paulista - U20Paulista - U20 · Round 9
49%
Oeste U20
model favours
49%25%26%

XV de Piracicaba U20 score first in only 29% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Oeste U2049%
×Draw25%
XV de Piracicaba U2026%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oeste U20
1.56
XV de Piracicaba U20
1.05

Oeste U20 creates 49% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 20 away

creates per match

Oeste U20
1.76
XV de Piracicaba U20
1.25

allows per match

Oeste U20
0.86
XV de Piracicaba U20
1.35

finishing

Oeste U20+0.00on par
XV de Piracicaba U20+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 52Over: 4852%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes: 51No: 4951%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oeste U20 ↓

XV de Piracicaba U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Oeste U20 or draw
74%
Oeste U20 or XV de Piracicaba U20
75%
Draw or XV de Piracicaba U20
51%

Winning margin

Oeste U20 wins by 2+
25%
XV de Piracicaba U20 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Oeste U20 1+ goals
79%
Oeste U20 2+ goals
46%
Oeste U20 3+ goals
21%
XV de Piracicaba U20 1+ goals
65%
XV de Piracicaba U20 2+ goals
28%
XV de Piracicaba U20 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Oeste U20 (draw refunded)
66%
XV de Piracicaba U20 (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oeste U20 at home — creates 1.76, concedes 0.86 · 21 matches

XV de Piracicaba U20 away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oeste U20 attack 1.76 + XV de Piracicaba U20 defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.56

XV de Piracicaba U20 attack 1.25 + Oeste U20 defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Oeste U20 scores more
49%
level
25%
XV de Piracicaba U20 scores more
26%

Oeste U20 at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Oeste U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Oeste U20 sit 41, XV de Piracicaba U20 7 in the table
  • Both teams score in only 33% of XV de Piracicaba U20’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U20
LLWWW
U20
WWDDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Oeste U20 host XV de Piracicaba U20

July 31, 2026: Oeste U20 take on XV de Piracicaba U20 in Paulista - U20. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.