Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Oedt vs ASK Klagenfurt — Regionalliga - Mitte 2018

Oedt
Oedt
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
ASK Klagenfurt
ASK Klagenfurt
4/19/2025Regionalliga - MitteRegionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 23Transdanubia Sportanlage

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 25+ matches

Oedt58%
×Draw20%
ASK Klagenfurt22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oedt
2.21
ASK Klagenfurt
1.29

Oedt creates 71% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 25 away

creates per match

Oedt
2.70
ASK Klagenfurt
1.52

allows per match

Oedt
1.07
ASK Klagenfurt
1.72

finishing

Oedt+0.00on par
ASK Klagenfurt+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oedt ↓

ASK Klagenfurt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Oedt or draw
78%
Oedt or ASK Klagenfurt
80%
Draw or ASK Klagenfurt
42%

Winning margin

Oedt wins by 2+
36%
ASK Klagenfurt wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Oedt 1+ goals
89%
Oedt 2+ goals
65%
Oedt 3+ goals
38%
ASK Klagenfurt 1+ goals
72%
ASK Klagenfurt 2+ goals
37%
ASK Klagenfurt 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Oedt (draw refunded)
73%
ASK Klagenfurt (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oedt at home — creates 2.70, concedes 1.07 · 30 matches

ASK Klagenfurt away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.72 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oedt attack 2.70 + ASK Klagenfurt defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 2.21

ASK Klagenfurt attack 1.52 + Oedt defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Oedt scores more
58%
level
20%
ASK Klagenfurt scores more
22%

Oedt at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Oedt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Regionalliga - Mitte: Oedt 2–1 ASK Klagenfurt

Oedt beat ASK Klagenfurt 2-1 in Regionalliga - Mitte on April 19, 2025.

The match was played at Transdanubia Sportanlage in Traun/Oedt.