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Odra Opole vs Ślęza Wrocław — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Odra Opole
Odra Opole
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Ślęza Wrocław
Ślęza Wrocław
1/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Centrum Sportu Opole

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Odra Opole53%
×Draw24%
Ślęza Wrocław24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Odra Opole
1.75
Ślęza Wrocław
1.09

Odra Opole creates 61% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 8 away

creates per match

Odra Opole
1.36
Ślęza Wrocław
1.00

allows per match

Odra Opole
1.18
Ślęza Wrocław
2.13

finishing

Odra Opole+0.00on par
Ślęza Wrocław+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Odra Opole ↓

Ślęza Wrocław →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Odra Opole or draw
76%
Odra Opole or Ślęza Wrocław
76%
Draw or Ślęza Wrocław
47%

Winning margin

Odra Opole wins by 2+
29%
Ślęza Wrocław wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Odra Opole 1+ goals
83%
Odra Opole 2+ goals
52%
Odra Opole 3+ goals
25%
Ślęza Wrocław 1+ goals
66%
Ślęza Wrocław 2+ goals
30%
Ślęza Wrocław 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Odra Opole (draw refunded)
69%
Ślęza Wrocław (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Odra Opole at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

Ślęza Wrocław away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Odra Opole attack 1.36 + Ślęza Wrocław defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.75

Ślęza Wrocław attack 1.00 + Odra Opole defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Odra Opole scores more
53%
level
24%
Ślęza Wrocław scores more
24%

Odra Opole at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Odra Opole will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Odra Opole vs Ślęza Wrocław

Odra Opole beat Ślęza Wrocław 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2024.

The match was played at Centrum Sportu Opole in Opole.