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ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF — 1. Division 2026

ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
Preview
16:00
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
11/1/20261. Division1. Division · Round 29Skagerak Arena
48%
ODD Ballklubb
model favours
48%23%28%

Both teams score in 92% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

ODD Ballklubb48%
×Draw23%
Sandnes ULF28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ODD Ballklubb
1.79
Sandnes ULF
1.32

ODD Ballklubb creates 36% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 97 away

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.57
Sandnes ULF
1.21

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.43
Sandnes ULF
2.02

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par
Sandnes ULF+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 60Under: 4060%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Sandnes ULF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw
72%
ODD Ballklubb or Sandnes ULF
77%
Draw or Sandnes ULF
52%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
26%
Sandnes ULF wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
83%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
53%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
26%
Sandnes ULF 1+ goals
73%
Sandnes ULF 2+ goals
38%
Sandnes ULF 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
63%
Sandnes ULF (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.43 · 23 matches

Sandnes ULF away — creates 1.21, concedes 2.02 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.57 + Sandnes ULF defence 2.02 → ÷2 → 1.79

Sandnes ULF attack 1.21 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more
48%
level
23%
Sandnes ULF scores more
28%

ODD Ballklubb at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "ODD Ballklubb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 77% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb score first in only 31% of matches
  • ODD Ballklubb raise their game against the top half — 40% wins vs the upper half, only 22% vs the lower
  • 45% of Sandnes ULF’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Ballklubb
LDDLW
ULF
DWWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF — Match Preview

ODD Ballklubb face Sandnes ULF on November 1, 2026 in this 1. Division fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

ODD Ballklubb host Sandnes ULF at Skagerak Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.