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ODD Ballklubb vs Inter Turku — Friendlies Clubs 2026

ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Inter Turku
Inter Turku
D. Soderberg 6'
3/8/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

ODD Ballklubb44%
×Draw24%
Inter Turku32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ODD Ballklubb
1.60
Inter Turku
1.32

ODD Ballklubb creates 21% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 4 away

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.70
Inter Turku
1.50

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.15
Inter Turku
1.50

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par
Inter Turku+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 56Under: 4456%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 58No: 4258%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Inter Turku →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw
68%
ODD Ballklubb or Inter Turku
76%
Draw or Inter Turku
56%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
22%
Inter Turku wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
80%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
47%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
22%
Inter Turku 1+ goals
73%
Inter Turku 2+ goals
38%
Inter Turku 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
58%
Inter Turku (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.15 · 20 matches

Inter Turku away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.70 + Inter Turku defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.60

Inter Turku attack 1.50 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more
44%
level
24%
Inter Turku scores more
32%

ODD Ballklubb at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "ODD Ballklubb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
D. Soderberg
ODD
Inter
Per Frandsen
Manager: Per Frandsen
Vesa-Pekka Vasara
Manager: Vesa-Pekka Vasara

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Inter Turku

ODD Ballklubb beat Inter Turku 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 8, 2026.

Goals: D. Soderberg (6').