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ODD Ballklubb vs Arendal — Friendlies Clubs 2026

ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Arendal
Arendal
1/23/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

ODD Ballklubb31%
×Draw24%
Arendal45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ODD Ballklubb
1.35
Arendal
1.65

Arendal creates 22% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 7 away

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.70
Arendal
2.14

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.15
Arendal
1.00

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par
Arendal+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 58Under: 4258%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 60No: 4060%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Arendal →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw
55%
ODD Ballklubb or Arendal
76%
Draw or Arendal
69%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
14%
Arendal wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
74%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
39%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
15%
Arendal 1+ goals
81%
Arendal 2+ goals
49%
Arendal 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
41%
Arendal (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.15 · 20 matches

Arendal away — creates 2.14, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.70 + Arendal defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.35

Arendal attack 2.14 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more
31%
level
24%
Arendal scores more
45%

Arendal at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Arendal will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

ODD
Arendal
Per Frandsen
Manager: Per Frandsen
Vegard Hansen
Manager: Vegard Hansen

Friendlies Clubs: ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Arendal

ODD Ballklubb and Arendal drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 23, 2026.