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Nsuopun Fidelity vs Soccer Intellectuals — Division One League 2025

Nsuopun Fidelity
Nsuopun Fidelity
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Soccer Intellectuals
Soccer Intellectuals
2/1/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 18

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Nsuopun Fidelity61%
×Draw24%
Soccer Intellectuals15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nsuopun Fidelity
1.70
Soccer Intellectuals
0.70

Nsuopun Fidelity creates 143% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
1.93
Soccer Intellectuals
0.53

allows per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
0.87
Soccer Intellectuals
1.47

finishing

Nsuopun Fidelity+0.00on par
Soccer Intellectuals+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nsuopun Fidelity ↓

Soccer Intellectuals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Nsuopun Fidelity or draw
85%
Nsuopun Fidelity or Soccer Intellectuals
76%
Draw or Soccer Intellectuals
39%

Winning margin

Nsuopun Fidelity wins by 2+
35%
Soccer Intellectuals wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Nsuopun Fidelity 1+ goals
82%
Nsuopun Fidelity 2+ goals
51%
Nsuopun Fidelity 3+ goals
24%
Soccer Intellectuals 1+ goals
50%
Soccer Intellectuals 2+ goals
16%
Soccer Intellectuals 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Nsuopun Fidelity (draw refunded)
80%
Soccer Intellectuals (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nsuopun Fidelity at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Soccer Intellectuals away — creates 0.53, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nsuopun Fidelity attack 1.93 + Soccer Intellectuals defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.70

Soccer Intellectuals attack 0.53 + Nsuopun Fidelity defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Nsuopun Fidelity scores more
61%
level
24%
Soccer Intellectuals scores more
15%

Nsuopun Fidelity at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Nsuopun Fidelity will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Nsuopun Fidelity 2–0 Soccer Intellectuals

Nsuopun Fidelity beat Soccer Intellectuals 2-0 in Division One League on February 1, 2026.