Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nsuopun Fidelity vs Skyy — Division One League 2025

Nsuopun Fidelity
Nsuopun Fidelity
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Skyy
Skyy
1/4/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Nsuopun Fidelity58%
×Draw23%
Skyy19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nsuopun Fidelity
1.77
Skyy
0.90

Nsuopun Fidelity creates 97% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
1.93
Skyy
0.93

allows per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
0.87
Skyy
1.60

finishing

Nsuopun Fidelity+0.00on par
Skyy+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nsuopun Fidelity ↓

Skyy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Nsuopun Fidelity or draw
81%
Nsuopun Fidelity or Skyy
77%
Draw or Skyy
42%

Winning margin

Nsuopun Fidelity wins by 2+
33%
Skyy wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Nsuopun Fidelity 1+ goals
83%
Nsuopun Fidelity 2+ goals
53%
Nsuopun Fidelity 3+ goals
26%
Skyy 1+ goals
59%
Skyy 2+ goals
23%
Skyy 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Nsuopun Fidelity (draw refunded)
75%
Skyy (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nsuopun Fidelity at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Skyy away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nsuopun Fidelity attack 1.93 + Skyy defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.77

Skyy attack 0.93 + Nsuopun Fidelity defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Nsuopun Fidelity scores more
58%
level
23%
Skyy scores more
19%

Nsuopun Fidelity at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Nsuopun Fidelity will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Nsuopun Fidelity 3–1 Skyy

Nsuopun Fidelity beat Skyy 3-1 in Division One League on January 4, 2026.