Norway 9–0 Armenia: Result & Stats | Friendlies

Norway

FT

9 – 0

HT: 5 – 0

Armenia

A. Sørloth 90+1', 86'

M. Dæhli 80'

J. King 59', 33', 28' (pen)

E. Haaland 45+1', 24'

K. Thorstvedt 30'

3/29/2022

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Ullevaal Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Norway74%

×Draw16%

Armenia11%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

NorwayExpected goals in this matchArmenia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.58

0.87

Norway

2.58

Armenia

0.87

Norway creates 197% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 10 away

2.07

creates per match

1.10

0.64

allows per match

3.10

creates per match

Norway

2.07

Armenia

1.10

allows per match

Norway

0.64

Armenia

3.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Norway+0.00on par

Armenia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Norway ↓

Armenia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–17%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Norway or draw

89%

Norway or Armenia

84%

Draw or Armenia

26%

Winning margin

Norway wins by 2+

52%

Armenia wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Norway 1+ goals

92%

Norway 2+ goals

72%

Norway 3+ goals

47%

Armenia 1+ goals

58%

Armenia 2+ goals

22%

Armenia 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Norway (draw refunded)

87%

Armenia (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Norway at home — creates 2.07, concedes 0.64 · 14 matches

Armenia away — creates 1.10, concedes 3.10 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Norway attack 2.07 + Armenia defence 3.10 → ÷2 → 2.58

Armenia attack 1.10 + Norway defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Norway scores more

74%

level

16%

Armenia scores more

11%

Norway at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Norway will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'

Arman Hovhannisyan

21'

K. Hovhannisyan← E. Vardanyan

22'

Khoren Bayramyan

24'

E. Haaland↳ M. Elyounoussi

28'

J. KingPenalty

30'

K. Thorstvedt↳ E. Haaland

33'

J. King↳ M. Ødegaard

34'

H. Nazaryan← V. Bichakhchyan

35'

H. Harutyunyan← S. Udo

35'

G. Ghazaryan← E. Spertsyan

45+1'

E. Haaland↳ K. Thorstvedt

46'

F. Aursnes← S. Berge

46'

M. Dæhli← M. Elyounoussi

46'

J. Ryerson← M. Pedersen

46'

A. Sørloth← E. Haaland

46'

A. Avanesyan← K. Bayramyan

59'

J. King↳ A. Hanche-Olsen

63'

S. Strandberg← A. Hanche-Olsen

69'

D. Terteryan← V. Haroyan

72'

V. Berisha← K. Thorstvedt

80'

M. Dæhli↳ V. Berisha

86'

A. Sørloth↳ M. Ødegaard

90'

Fredrik Aursnes

90+1'

A. Sørloth↳ J. King

Possession

Shots

Statistics

NorwayArmenia

Overview

70%Possession30%

20Total Shots0

10Corners2

7Fouls12

Shots

20Total Shots0

12On Target0

8Off Target0

Passing

70%Possession30%

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

Discipline

7Fouls12

1Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

1Offsides3