Norway U19 3–0 Luxembourg U19: Result & Stats

Norway U19

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Luxembourg U19

I. Gosik 69'

O. Oppedal 48'

E. Solberg 39'

3/28/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League B - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Norway U1973%

×Draw16%

Luxembourg U1911%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Norway U19Expected goals in this matchLuxembourg U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.60

0.93

Norway U19

2.60

Luxembourg U19

0.93

Norway U19 creates 180% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 16 away

3.26

creates per match

1.13

0.74

allows per match

1.94

creates per match

Norway U19

3.26

Luxembourg U19

1.13

allows per match

Norway U19

0.74

Luxembourg U19

1.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Norway U19+0.00on par

Luxembourg U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Norway U19 ↓

Luxembourg U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–17%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Norway U19 or draw

89%

Norway U19 or Luxembourg U19

84%

Draw or Luxembourg U19

27%

Winning margin

Norway U19 wins by 2+

51%

Luxembourg U19 wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Norway U19 1+ goals

92%

Norway U19 2+ goals

73%

Norway U19 3+ goals

47%

Luxembourg U19 1+ goals

61%

Luxembourg U19 2+ goals

24%

Luxembourg U19 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Norway U19 (draw refunded)

86%

Luxembourg U19 (draw refunded)

14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Norway U19 at home — creates 3.26, concedes 0.74 · 19 matches

Luxembourg U19 away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.94 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Norway U19 attack 3.26 + Luxembourg U19 defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 2.60

Luxembourg U19 attack 1.13 + Norway U19 defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Norway U19 scores more

73%

level

16%

Luxembourg U19 scores more

11%

Norway U19 at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Norway U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'

E. Solberg↳ M. Lye

46'

S. Welter← D. Pereira

48'

O. Oppedal

61'

J. Gomes Rodrigues← D. Jordao Machado

61'

K. Batchakui Tchaptchet← L. Monteiro Ruiz

63'

I. Gosik← E. Solberg

63'

T. Leikanger← O. Oppedal

69'

I. Gosik↳ M. Lye

74'

J. Solberg← E. Flo

74'

P. Holseter-Karlsen← M. Lye

77'

M. Chedid← L. Carolei

77'

M. Rasiti← M. Oger

82'

H. Chooly← E. Steinsland

Norway

Luxembourg

12

Campos

2

Silva

4

▼

Ruiz

5

▼

Oger

22

Lima

19

Santos

6

▼

Carolei

10

▼

Pereira

8

Kadamani

9

Polfer

17

▼

1

2

20

8

13

14

A

▼

Lye

16

Nois

15

▼

Flo

5

⚽

▼

Solberg

11

▼

Steinslan

18

⚽

▼

Oppedal

Manager: Jorgen Isnes

63'▲I. Gosik←▼E. Solberg

63'▲T. Leikanger←▼O. Oppedal

74'▲J. Solberg←▼E. Flo

74'▲P. Holseter-Karlsen←▼M. Lye

82'▲H. Chooly←▼E. Steinsland

Norway U19 substitutes

12Ordal3Tostrup-Kval4Solberg6Andresen7Conno9Gosik10Holseter-Karlsen17Leikanger19Chooly

46'▲S. Welter←▼D. Pereira

61'▲J. Gomes Rodrigues←▼D. Jordao Machado

61'▲K. Batchakui Tchaptchet←▼L. Monteiro Ruiz

77'▲M. Chedid←▼L. Carolei

77'▲M. Rasiti←▼M. Oger

Luxembourg U19 substitutes

1Novalic3Garcia7Rodrigues11Welter13Fernandes14Tchaptchet15Chedid16Oliveira21Rasiti

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Norway U19 3–0 Luxembourg U19

Norway U19 beat Luxembourg U19 3-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 28, 2026.

Goals: E. Solberg (39'), O. Oppedal (48'), I. Gosik (69').

Norway U19 vs Luxembourg U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Norway U19 3–0 Luxembourg U19