Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

North Macedonia W vs Andorra W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027

North Macedonia W
North Macedonia W
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Andorra W
Andorra W
3/7/2026World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 2Stadion Petar Milosevski

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

North Macedonia W59%
×Draw19%
Andorra W22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

North Macedonia W
2.50
Andorra W
1.50

North Macedonia W creates 67% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

North Macedonia W
1.33
Andorra W
0.33

allows per match

North Macedonia W
2.67
Andorra W
3.67

finishing

North Macedonia W+0.00on par
Andorra W+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

North Macedonia W ↓

Andorra W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

North Macedonia W or draw
78%
North Macedonia W or Andorra W
81%
Draw or Andorra W
41%

Winning margin

North Macedonia W wins by 2+
38%
Andorra W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

North Macedonia W 1+ goals
92%
North Macedonia W 2+ goals
71%
North Macedonia W 3+ goals
45%
Andorra W 1+ goals
78%
Andorra W 2+ goals
44%
Andorra W 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

North Macedonia W (draw refunded)
73%
Andorra W (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

North Macedonia W at home — creates 1.33, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Andorra W away — creates 0.33, concedes 3.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

North Macedonia W attack 1.33 + Andorra W defence 3.67 → ÷2 → 2.50

Andorra W attack 0.33 + North Macedonia W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

North Macedonia W scores more
59%
level
19%
Andorra W scores more
22%

North Macedonia W at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "North Macedonia W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: North Macedonia W vs Andorra W

North Macedonia W beat Andorra W 3-0 in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on March 7, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion Petar Milosevski in Bitola.