North Macedonia U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19

North Macedonia U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Faroe Islands U19

3/25/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League B - 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

North Macedonia U1968%

×Draw21%

Faroe Islands U1911%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

North Macedonia U19Expected goals in this matchFaroe Islands U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

0.61

North Macedonia U19

1.90

Faroe Islands U19

0.61

North Macedonia U19 creates 211% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 11 away

0.71

creates per match

0.09

1.14

allows per match

3.09

creates per match

North Macedonia U19

0.71

Faroe Islands U19

0.09

allows per match

North Macedonia U19

1.14

Faroe Islands U19

3.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

North Macedonia U19+0.00on par

Faroe Islands U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

North Macedonia U19 ↓

Faroe Islands U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–15%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–19%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

North Macedonia U19 or draw

89%

North Macedonia U19 or Faroe Islands U19

79%

Draw or Faroe Islands U19

32%

Winning margin

North Macedonia U19 wins by 2+

42%

Faroe Islands U19 wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

North Macedonia U19 1+ goals

85%

North Macedonia U19 2+ goals

56%

North Macedonia U19 3+ goals

29%

Faroe Islands U19 1+ goals

46%

Faroe Islands U19 2+ goals

13%

Faroe Islands U19 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

North Macedonia U19 (draw refunded)

86%

Faroe Islands U19 (draw refunded)

14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

North Macedonia U19 at home — creates 0.71, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

Faroe Islands U19 away — creates 0.09, concedes 3.09 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

North Macedonia U19 attack 0.71 + Faroe Islands U19 defence 3.09 → ÷2 → 1.90

Faroe Islands U19 attack 0.09 + North Macedonia U19 defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

North Macedonia U19 scores more

68%

level

21%

Faroe Islands U19 scores more

11%

North Macedonia U19 at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "North Macedonia U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'

L. Zhaku← G. Taleski

58'

I. Tanchev← F. Ilazi

65'

B. Olsen← J. Lon

65'

E. Lukama← J. Gaard

70'

D. Bucevski← D. Hodja

77'

I. Markovski← S. Brankovski

77'

A. Rochi← K. Markoski

87'

J. Samuelsen← D. Morkore

North

Faroe

1

Sjurdarso

4

▼

Lon

18

Isfeld

13

▼

Gaard

3

Samsson

14

Jacobsen

11

▼

7

8

5

9

1

2

▼

4

6

3

11

▼

Brankovsk

15

▼

Taleski

10

Angelevsk

17

Mrmachovs

9

▼

Hodja

19

▼

Ilazi

Manager: V. Stanojković

58'▲L. Zhaku←▼G. Taleski

58'▲I. Tanchev←▼F. Ilazi

70'▲D. Bucevski←▼D. Hodja

77'▲I. Markovski←▼S. Brankovski

77'▲A. Rochi←▼K. Markoski

North Macedonia U19 substitutes

12Trajkovski5Dimovski7Bucevski8Zhaku13Markovski14Rochi16Velkov18Kasami20Tanchev

65'▲B. Olsen←▼J. Lon

65'▲E. Lukama←▼J. Gaard

87'▲J. Samuelsen←▼D. Morkore

Faroe Islands U19 substitutes

12Johansen2Joensen6Joensen10Solheim15Olsen16Lukama17Samuelsen

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: North Macedonia U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19

North Macedonia U19 and Faroe Islands U19 drew 0-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 25, 2026.

North Macedonia U19 vs Faroe Islands U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: North Macedonia U19 0–0 Faroe Islands U19