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Ngezi Platinum vs Dynamos — Premier Soccer League 2026

Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Dynamos
Dynamos
K. Chigwida 88' (pen)
E. Macdonald 78'
F. Agyemang 32'
5/24/2025Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 13Baobab Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 97+ matches

Ngezi Platinum45%
×Draw30%
Dynamos25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ngezi Platinum
1.17
Dynamos
0.78

Ngezi Platinum creates 50% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 97 away

creates per match

Ngezi Platinum
1.60
Dynamos
0.91

allows per match

Ngezi Platinum
0.65
Dynamos
0.74

finishing

Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par
Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ngezi Platinum ↓

Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–111%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Ngezi Platinum or draw
75%
Ngezi Platinum or Dynamos
70%
Draw or Dynamos
55%

Winning margin

Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
19%
Dynamos wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
69%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
33%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
11%
Dynamos 1+ goals
54%
Dynamos 2+ goals
18%
Dynamos 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
65%
Dynamos (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ngezi Platinum at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.65 · 103 matches

Dynamos away — creates 0.91, concedes 0.74 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ngezi Platinum attack 1.60 + Dynamos defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 1.17

Dynamos attack 0.91 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Ngezi Platinum scores more
45%
level
30%
Dynamos scores more
25%

Ngezi Platinum at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Ngezi Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'
F. Agyemang
78'
E. Macdonald
88'
K. ChigwidaPenalty
Ngezi
Dynamos
T. Chiragwi
Manager: T. Chiragwi
L. Chigowe
Manager: L. Chigowe

Match Recap: Ngezi Platinum vs Dynamos

Ngezi Platinum beat Dynamos 2-1 in Premier Soccer League on May 24, 2025.

Goals: F. Agyemang (32'), E. Macdonald (78'), K. Chigwida (88' pen).

The match was played at Baobab Stadium in Ngezi.