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Ngezi Platinum vs Chicken Inn — Premier Soccer League 2026

Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Chicken Inn
Chicken Inn
11/8/2025Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 33

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 98+ matches

Ngezi Platinum47%
×Draw30%
Chicken Inn23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ngezi Platinum
1.24
Chicken Inn
0.77

Ngezi Platinum creates 61% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 98 away

creates per match

Ngezi Platinum
1.60
Chicken Inn
0.89

allows per match

Ngezi Platinum
0.65
Chicken Inn
0.88

finishing

Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par
Chicken Inn+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ngezi Platinum ↓

Chicken Inn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Ngezi Platinum or draw
77%
Ngezi Platinum or Chicken Inn
70%
Draw or Chicken Inn
53%

Winning margin

Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
21%
Chicken Inn wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
71%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
35%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
13%
Chicken Inn 1+ goals
54%
Chicken Inn 2+ goals
18%
Chicken Inn 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
67%
Chicken Inn (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ngezi Platinum at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.65 · 103 matches

Chicken Inn away — creates 0.89, concedes 0.88 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ngezi Platinum attack 1.60 + Chicken Inn defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 1.24

Chicken Inn attack 0.89 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Ngezi Platinum scores more
47%
level
30%
Chicken Inn scores more
23%

Ngezi Platinum at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Ngezi Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ngezi Platinum vs Chicken Inn

Ngezi Platinum and Chicken Inn drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on November 8, 2025.